Author

Steve Miley

Having spent 2009-2012 as a Director of the Technical Analysis Research Strategy team at Credit Suisse and previously 15 years at Merrill Lynch. He has covered all major asset classes including Rates & Credit, Commodities, G10 & EM currencies and Equity Indices & Sectors.
He has strong relationships across the institutional financial trading spectrum and is the previous Winner of the Technical Analyst Magazine Award for Best Independent Fixed Income Research & Strategy 2013 and Runner Up in 2014. He was also a previous winner of Best FX Research 2012 whilst at Credit Suisse.
Steve holds a Masters Degree in Politics, Philosophy & Economics from Lincoln College, Oxford University.


Intermediate

EURUSD range breakout hints at longer term bearish threat to parity!

The US Dollar has displayed a far more bullish tone from late September, but particularly now through early October, with growing expectations of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve into the end of the year, likely in December. Furthermore, the perception of a more hawkish Fed into 2017 could encourage ongoing US$ gains for … Continued

GBPUSD “Flash Crash” and Bear Risks

A so called “Flash Crash” for GBPUSD at the start of the Asian trading day on Friday (7th October). But what is a “Flash Crash”, what potentially caused it and what is the impact for Cable (GBPUSD) going forward?   What is a “Flash Crash”? A “Flash Crash”, is a term used to describe an … Continued

Bank of England Rate Cut has only minor negative impact on the GB Pound

Video Analysis The technical threat is mounting for an intermediate-term bull tone into mid-September, signalled by a break above 1.3534. UK data continues to surprise on the upside, most recently on Monday 5th September with the Services Sector Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) survey for the UK which bounced back from 47.4 in July to 52.9 for August. … Continued

USDCAD Surging Rebound post-Employment reports

Video Analysis An aggressive rally through the US and Canadian Employment reports on Friday (5th June) has seen both a short-term bullish shift and also threat of an intermediate-term bullish switch into mid-August (see above 1.3296). Read more forex market forecasts A prod below the 1.3000 support low from late July on Thursday (to 1.2995), … Continued

Bank of England Rate Cut has only minor negative impact on the GB Pound

Video Analysis An extremely dovish outcome from the Bank of England Meeting on Thursday, with a rate cut and additional quantitative easing. Although technical supports were breached (1.3279, 1.3226, 1.3168, 1.3149), stronger foundations in the 1.3070/57/47 area have held. This leaves bias in the very near term for a rebound, back maybe towards the upper … Continued

Beginner

Technical Analysis – Glossary

Below we provide a glossary of key Technical Analysis terms. These range from the basic, through intermediate, to more advance terms used in the Technical Analysis approach to markets. Here we start with those terms beginning A through to P. You can click on a letter to find your section quicker. A – B – … Continued

Beginner

Basic Terms

Below we introduce some initial basic terms from Risk and Trade Management. Hit Rate Hit Rate is a measure of the ratio of the number of winning (profitable) trades over a set period of time, divided by the total number of trades. Hit Rate = number of winning (profitable) trades / total number of trades … Continued

Expert

Sovereign Rating Sheet

A credit rating is the assessment of the credit risk of a potential borrower or debtor. Primarily this focuses on the capacity to make repayment of the debt, and therefore implicitly a prediction of the probability or possibility of the debtor not repaying (or defaulting). Sovereign Debt Ratings are a form of credit rating, but … Continued

Beginner

Technical Analysis – History

Technical Analysis has a long history and in Europe can be traced to the 17th century writings of Joseph de la Vega about the Dutch Stock markets. In 18th Century Japan, Homma Munehisa, a very successful rice futures trader developed the Candlestick trading approach, which is still used today. Charles Dow Jose De La Vega … Continued

Beginner

Technical Analysis – Principles

There are three basic tenets of technical analysis as follows: Market price action discounts everything. All information that is both relevant and available is already built into current prices. Price action moves in trends over various time frames. These trends are either down, up or sideways. History will tend to repeat itself. The common factor … Continued

Beginner

Top Ten Tips for Trading Success

Work Hard! Success is no accident. It is hard work, perseverance, learning, studying, sacrifice and most of all, love of what you are doing or learning to do. Pele Nothing in life is for free. As with all skills, the more you work at trading, the better you get at it. There is NOT a … Continued

Expert

Hawk / Dove Sheet

Here we present the Hawk / Dove sheet, an explanation of the terminology as well as the implications on forex trading and how it is used in fundamental analysis. Hawkish and Dovish Hawkish A Hawk is a term originally used in economics to describe economists or Central Bankers who are more concerned with potential recession … Continued