11th-15th November 2019
The US Dollar performed well at the beginning of last week, however its strong performance depleted on Friday after disappointing US Retail Sales and because of a more positive outlook for the US-China trade talks. As a result of this, the Dollar Index (DXY) fell 0.4% to close the week just above 98.00.
The Euro moved mostly sideways last week, however we did start to see some gains after some positive signs from EU economic data. EUR/USD finished the week trading just above the important 1.1050 mark.
The Pound has just been somewhat sideways as traders patiently wait for the all-important December elections. A No Deal Brexit scenario is now a very low-probability outcome with growing risks now for a Tory majority. GBP/USD finished the week at the 1.29 level.
A fairly positive week on the Yen front, it found some strength, however, it feels as if the currency is starting to forget it’s all important correlation with the equity markets.
AUD & NZD
In light of last week’s RBNZ rate decision, the RBNZ did not cut rates as expected, which pushed NZD/USD up by 1.2%.
However, the Aussie had a fairly negative week, but managed to make up some of its losses on Friday and only finished 0.4% lower versus the USD.
Equities remain bulletproof, any slight positive news sees a push higher with US averages hitting new record highs and any negative news seems to be ignored. The S&P500 finished the week up 0.8% to 3117, the DAX traded sideways and finished the week at 13234, whilst the FTSE100 sold off slightly to end the week at 7312.
The Week Ahead
All eyes are on equites, how much higher can they go? This will remain the question for most traders. US President Donald Trump faces some serious problems and will more than likely be pushing to get some positive news out of US-China trade talks to take the spotlight off of his domestic issues.
On the macroeconomic front we see a reasonably quiet week, Manufacturing and Services PMI results will be ones to watch on Friday. Until next week, Happy Trading!