Elliott wave Analysis: S&P500 and EURJPY Update

Intermediate

Stocks rallied yesterday, which has been technically expected as we see E-mini SP500 futures moving down into fifth wave of decline with a wedge shape. This pattern was broken to the upside, so market is now in a three wave corrective bounce. It’s a temporary recovery that can be slowed down at 2755-2770 area, but after visible a-b-c sub-waves.

E-mini S&P500 1h

intraday sp

If stocks would really see limited upside then something similar can be happening for EURJPY, which appears to be in a more complex recovery, but still corrective. I am observing an A-B-C move back to 129.40/60 area where new sell-off may show up.

EURJPY 1h

intraday eurjpy


Latest News

usdjpy
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Last Friday’s very weak German Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data was another blow to the global economic backdrop, with concerns throughout this year of a global slowdown in China, through Asia Pacific and increasingly also in Europe. This has seen riskier asset classes come under negative forces over the past week into latter March, with … Continued

Euro vulnerability

A Euro plunge in the latter part of last week, on Friday driven by very weak German Purchasing Managers’ Index data. Furthermore, the US Dollar has seen broader strength again on Thursday-Friday against many major currencies, after US$ weakness was seen immediately after a far more dovish Federal reserve at their meeting on Wednesday. This … Continued

EURUSD Still stumbles at the 200-day MA

The Euro was the weakest currency on Friday The EURUSD cannot break above to 200-Day Moving Average There may a small bounce on Monday morning As European slides into recession EURUSD will fall to 1.1000 The 200-day moving average (200 DMA) has continued to prove a stubborn barrier to the upward path of EURUSD. This … Continued

Current Market Analysis
Euro breaks down, GBPCAD threatens upside

US Dollar Index holds support and rebounds EURUSD seeds multiple negative signals, downside risks GBPUSD sends buy signal GBPCAD sets up more bullish AUDUSD negative and USDCAD buy signal USDTRY and USDBRL surge

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