Equities stay solid through Trump speech

  • A much-hyped speech from US President Trump on the US-China trade talks Tuesday had muted impact as the major US equity averages probed higher hitting new all-time highs ahead of the speech.
  • There was nothing particularly new from President Trump highlighting a phase one deal was close, but also stating that if an agreement was not reached there would be further tariffs.
  • The US markets shrugged this off, but Asian equities have reacted slightly negatively overnight, tugging European and US stock futures down with them. Ongoing tension in Hong Kong have assisted in the more negative tone seen across stock averages during the Asian session.
  • However, both the short- and intermediate-term outlooks for stocks remain positive and we see risks for global stock averages higher today and into November.

FTSE 100: Risks higher, building on Monday’s Hammer candlestick

A Tuesday rally up through resistances at 7332 and 73563, to reinforce Monday’s intraday rebound from just above key 7217 support (from 7237) for a strong recovery and bullish Hammer candlestick, and despite a dip lower overnight to leave risks higher for Wednesday.

  • We see an upside bias for 7357/58; break here aims for 7371.5, maybe 7382 and even 7415.
  • But below 7303.5/00 opens risk down to 7281, then maybe 7259.

4 Hour FTSE 100 Chart

FTSE 100 chart

DAX: Still aiming higher

A rally to another new cycle high through 13298 to 13306.5 on Tuesday, to build on the Monday and Friday dips and bounces  from above 13103.5 support (from 13133.5), to affirm bullish forces from the early November surge through multiple resistances, and despite a dip overnight to keep risks to the upside on Wednesday.

  • We see an upside bias for 13279; break here aims for 13306.5/333.5, even 13405/10.
  • But below 13207/13194 aims for 13175/170 and opens risk down to 13133.5.

4 Hour DAX Chart

DAX chart

Day trade outlook: New record peak

A Tuesday probe higher to another new record high, above the 3100.0 option/ psychological target to 3102.0, to build on the bull pressures from last Friday’s dip and recovery from just above our 3072.25 support (from 3072.5), and despite a dip overnight keeping the bias higher for this Wednesday. 

  • We see an upside bias for 3091/92 and 3102.0; break here aims for 3110/11 and maybe 3117.75.
  • But below 3081.25/81.0 targets 3072.5 and then maybe opens risk down 3063.0.

4 Hour S&P 500 Chart

S&P 500 chart

Editor in chief

Steve Miley has 29 years of financial market experience and as a seasoned expert now has many responsibilities. He is the founder, Director and Primary Analyst at The Market Chartist, the Editor-in...continued

Comment on this video

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Latest Related News

Stock indices stay vulnerable to further losses (FTSE forecast)

Global financial markets have shifted back to more of a “risk off” phase since the start of Q2 into April, with stock averages lower (see our recent reports on the DAX and S&P500Share indices did manage modest rebounds Thursday, after a more promising outlook was seen for the Oil price, with the Oil and energy sector heavy FTSE 100 index, particularly benefiting.Here we focus on… Continued

DAX Triple Top keeps threat to the downside

Day trade outlook: A significant selloff on Wednesday through key supports at 9422 and 9411.5, to confirm a Triple Top pattern, to reinforce Tuesday's recovery failure from below the recent recovery peak at 10117 (down from 10073), to keep the bias lower for Thursday. We see a downside bias for 9300; a break below aims for 9188.5 and maybe 9068.But above 9593.5 targets the 9735/40 area and maybe towards 9924.5,… Continued

Stock averages recoveries fading (S&P 500 forecast)

Global share indices tried to advance further on Tuesday into the end of quarter (end of the Japanese fiscal year) but have been unable to resume the bullish themes seen through latter March, last week.The subsequent hesitant setback over the past 24 hours may have reflected recovery fatigue, but also potentially a conclusion to end of month/ quarter, rebalancing flows.We see the short-term threat for… Continued

Next Cycle Low ~4/7

The first countertrend rally took SPX to its 200-DMA  where it was repelled. IWM did not fare nearly as well and remains with considerable relative weakness to the SPX.  There may be some additional trading within the range established this week, with the next short-term low due ~4/8.  An intermediate low is not due until mid-year. SPX daily chart Last Monday SPX made a low… Continued

DAX Projects 11300 TGT; STOXX 3375

As global central banks turn on the stimulus taps by slashing rates and restarting large QE programs, global equity benchmarks have recovered from their CV pandemic crash lows into mean-reversion. With fresh bullish targets projected on a Point & Figure model, we eye vital breakouts required in DAX and STOXX 50 Futures to widen tactical upside risks. NOTE: P&F methodology includes High/Low. DAX FUTURES Rallies… Continued

Forex Brokers in your location