Author

Elliot Wave Technical Analyst

https://www.ew-forecast.com/

Gregor Horvat is based in Slovenia (Central Europe) and has been active in the Forex market since 2003. He is a technical analyst and individual trader who also provides articles and trade plans based on the Fibonacci and Elliot Wave principles.

He mostly focuses on currencies, oil, gold, and the U.S. stock market.

He has worked for Capital Forex Group and TheLFB.com, whilst his feature articles have been published online across numerous industry websites.

Gregor Horvat is the founder of forex services on www.ew-forecast.com.

EW-Forecast.com provides technical analysis of the financial markets, highlighting behavioural patterns based on the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP). EWP provides a method for identifying price points at which a market is most likely to turn. Knowing the probable swing and reversal points provides confirmation of where investors could enter and exit positions for the highest probability of success.


Intermediate

AUDJPY and USDTRY Elliott Wave Analysis

AUDJPY can be trading in a sharp three-wave reversal, with current wave c/iii trading higher from the 71.06 area, where former corrective wave b/ii found support. Wave c/iii is an impulse and can now target 73.0 area with a five-legged move. AUDJPY, 1h USDTRY is moving lower into a projected support near 5.65/5.55 region, after … Continued

Intermediate

Crude OIL – Triangle Pattern on Energy Points Lower!

Hello fellow traders, A bigger triangle as part of a three-wave A-B-C reversal can be unfolding on crude oil in wave B. Now we are tracking final stages of a triangle, so be aware of a drop once final leg E of a triangle fully shows up. A drop below the lower triangle line would … Continued

Intermediate

AUDNZD and EURNZD Both Stopping for A Pullback!

AUDNZD unfolded five legs within wave a, which can be part of a bigger, bullish reversal. Completed five legs within a trend indicate a three-wave retracement to follow, which is already the case on AUDNZD; an a)-b)-c) pullback to around 1.043/1.039 region, where bulls may again take over. A later rise in impulsive fashion would … Continued

Intermediate

60.0 Region Can be Seen on NZDJPY

Hello fellow traders, NZDJPY recently broke below the recent swing low of wave D of a bigger triangle correction, which now suggests a completed triangle, and a bearish continuation. If that is the case, then a five-wave drop may follow into a higher degree wave C), targeting 60.0 region. NZDJPY, Weekly On the 4h chart … Continued

Intermediate

BTCUSD and EURNZD – Both Bullish! (Elliott Wave)

BTCUSD is recovering in a five-wave manner up from the 9200 region, where a higher degree correction had found a base. We see a clear recovery underway, which can now be stopping for a temporary correction as wave (iv), which can be either a flat or a triangle. Once wave (iv) fully develops, that is … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: GBPUSD On A Bearish Ride

Hello fellow traders! GBPUSD is looking bearish and can now be unfolding final stages of a sub-wave 3) of blue wave 1. We are observing minor leg 5 of 3) in progress, with possible support, and a turn into a corrective wave 4) around the Fibonacci ratio of 261.8 (1.235/1.223 region). GBPUSD, Daily On the … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott Wave Analysis: Metals Turning Bearish!

Metals are approaching resistance areas, so be aware of a fifth wave ending soon on some of them; Gold and platinum, while copper may have already found a top, so its current recovery can be a minor corrective pause. We are observing copper in a new, bearish cycle, down from 2.7600 level where a previous … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott Wave Analysis: AUDUSD and NZDUSD Looking Bullish!

Good day fellow traders! AUDUSD is recovering sharply from the 0.683 level, where a low for sub-wave c of Y had been found. Current sharp rally can now be part of a minimum three-wave recovery, that can take price towards, and beyond the 0.702 bullish level. We labelled first wave a/i in progress, which can … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott Wave Analysis: AUDJPY And NZDJPY Going Bullish Berserk!

Hello traders! AUDJPY is recovering, now unraveling sub-wave iii) as part of a higher degree impulse (iii). Wave three is the strongest and sharpest wave, so be aware of more upside, while price keeps trading above the 74.65 invalidation level. That said, now we see sub-wave iv unfolding, so a temporary setback may be in … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott Wave Analysis: EURUSD and GBPJPY Are Aiming Higher!

EURUSD is trading in a bullish trend, up from 1.118 level, where a higher degree wave 2 correction had found a base. We labelled a five-wave impulsive movement in progress, with price now trading at the end of a sub-wave v) of one. Once we get five minor legs within the wave v) of one, … Continued

Intermediate

Nasdaq Points Up; USDTRY Getting Ready For More Weakness

NASDAQ should remain in uptrend, because we don’t see a completed five-wave cycle yet, so current three-wave decline can be only part of a corrective wave iv that can find support ideally around previous wave iii) swing high and 7600 – 7595 levels and from where may see a continuation higher for wave v of … Continued

Intermediate

CADJPY, GBPUSD and NZDUSD Point Higher!

As stocks move to the upside, our attention is on CADJPY as this pair shows a nice bullish development with room for more upside after any short-term set-back of wave 3 or even maybe wave 2). More upside should follow this week. CADJPY, 4h Cable came nicely to the downside, beneath wave a level for … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott Wave Analysis: Ripple Doesn’t Show Any Bullish Signs, Yet!

Hello everybody! Ripple is trading sideways for a long time despite bullish turn on many major cryptocurrencies, so we still think that the bottom is not in place yet, especially because of Ripple logarithmic scale chart, which has the same wave structure as it had BTC last year! However, we are observing a big bearish … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: Crude Oil and S&P500 Intra-day Updates

Good day traders, Crude oil is dropping in impulsive fashion, now ideally unfolding final stages as part of a bigger, bearish cycle, labelled as wave 5). We see price already dipping, approaching the end of leg 5 of 5), which can look for support, and a bullish reversal near the 54.50/54.0 region. A later rally … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: GBPJPY and AUDJPY Can Both Turn Higher

GBPJPY is recovering, ideally in a five-wave manner, with price currently unfolding a corrective wave iv. This pullback can look for support, and a final bounce into the final wave v) around the Fibonacci ratio of 23.6 and 38.2 (145.4/145.22 region), and area where we see the upper base channel line. A rally in impulsive … Continued

Intermediate

EURUSD and USD Index Intra-day Movement – Elliott wave Analysis

EURUSD is sharply dropping, down from 1.122 swing high which can be labelled as a sub-wave 5 of one, with possible support region around the 1.1180 region (Fibonacci ratios of 423.6 and 138.2 can react as support), from where a temporary three-wave pullback may follow. A sharp rally from the lows would be an indication … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: CADJPY and EURUSD Intra-day Movement

Hi traders, CADJPY can be unfolding five waves up, but we still see an unfinished, big five-wave rally, so seems like pair just slowed down into wave 4, where ideal support would be here around 38,2% Fibo. retracement and 83.15 level. If it continues higher back above 83.65 region, then price can go towards 84.50 … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: S&P500 and USDTRY Looking Higher

Hi traders, S&P500 is trading beautifully from the 2786 lows, ideally in a five-wave recovery with wave 3 trading near completion. As we can see sub-wave v of 3 just approached the potential resistance area at 2890 level, where we see measurement of equality of blue waves one and five. That being said, be aware … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: GBPUSD and EURNZD Update

Hi traders, Cable is still looking higher towards new highs back to 1.3400 – 1.3500 area and we can see a small bullish setup in the smaller time frame that can test 1.3100 support area before a continuation higher. However, this may get even more complex, but as long as price is trading above 1.2980, … Continued

Intermediate

EW Update: GBPUSD Can Retest 1.3400 To Put In A Top Of A Wedge

GBPUSD can be trading in an EW ending diagonal within higher degree wave C, with recent turn down representing corrective sub-wave 4), that looks to have found support at the lower EW trend line. Current rally that we see is part of wave 5) which must be structured by three sub-waves in order to complete … Continued

Intermediate

ETPUSD Unraveling A New Rise; 0.8800 Minimum Target in View

Hello traders, Today’s article is for ETPUSD also known as Metaverse ETP. On ETPUSD we can see a nice bullish recovery in play, up from 0.3003 level, which can be making a three-legged, or five-legged move. We already see a five-wave completed rally within wave (A)/(1), which was later then followed by a temporary pullback … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: USDSGD and EURUSD Update

USDSGD made a big, bullish recovery at the end of 2017, and in 2018. We can see that price found a top for this five-wave rally near the 1.3900 region, from where a new impulsive (five-wave) structure has followed. We labelled it as wave A, which can now be followed by a temporary pullback as … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: Silver and USDCHF Update

Today’s article is about silver and the USDCHF pair. Both are trading in a correction, which means both can see more weakness as we are in a bearish trend. Silver is nicely dropping within an impulsive move (five legs in the direction of a trend) and can also be trading at the beginning of a … Continued

Intermediate

USDJPY Breaking out of a Triangle, EURAUD Looking Bullish

Hi traders, USDJPY is nicely breaking above the 111.07 level, showing early evidences of a completed triangle correction in wave 4 of a higher degree, and that wave 5) is in progress. In such case be aware of more gains, ideally in impulsive (five-wave) fashion, targeting 111.4/111.50 area, where triangle measurement projects end of a … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: GBPUSD and USDJPY

Hello traders today let’s take a look at GBPUSD and USDJPY pairs. GBPUSD made a nice five-wave drop from the 1.321 level, which is a sign of a completed higher degree wave C, and that a new bearish cycle is in play. We know that after a five-wave price development fully unfolds, a three-wave correction … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: USDNOK and USDTRY

USDNOK unfolded a bigger five-wave rally from start of 2018, and unraveled a bigger wave 1, that found a top at the upper Elliott wave channel line. The sharp reversal that followed from the upper channel line can now be labelled as wave A), first leg that can be part of a bigger three-wave retracement, … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: AUDUSD and NZDUSD Intra-day Update

Commodity currencies are making some pullback against the USD, except AUDUSD where we see pair higher after RBA Rate Statement (1.5%), Retail Sales (-0.4% vs 0.0%) and Trade Balance (3.68B vs 2.25B) figures. Technically speaking, there is room for 0.7300/0.7340 area while pair is above 0.7175. AUDUSD, 1h NZDUSD may also still see more gains, … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: GBPNZD and AUDUSD Update

GBPNZD is making a nice run, but so far only in three leg up from December low, currently in wave C with subwave five here in progress, so a top may not be far away. However, there is still room for 1.9500, so it’s very important to wait on a bearish impulsive turn before we … Continued

Intermediate

Power Ledger Is Breaking Higher – Elliott wave Crypto Analysis

As expected, Power Ledger is nicely breaking higher, so it should be bullish confirmed now. It can be trading within wave 3 and looking at the daily chart, there’s room for more upside towards 0.15-0.17 area. POWRUSD, Daily On the 4-hour chart we can see a five-wave rally into a blue wave »i« of a … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: Crude oil and EURGBP Update

On energy we see price recovering in an impulsive manner, ideally unfolding a bigger three-wave reversal. With current rally from the 42.46 level comes an indication that a low had been put in place for a former higher degree wave A and that a bigger black wave B correction can be in the making. In … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: GBPUSD and Crude oil Intra-day View

GBPUSD made a five-wave rally from the 1.240 level, and ended it with an EW ending diagonal at the 1.28 level. Current intra-day drop that we see from the highs, can be part of an unfolding a-b-c correction, which can look for support and a bounce near the 1.261/1.255 region. GBPUSD, 1h Crude oil can … Continued

Intermediate

USDJPY and Crude oil Update

Hi traders, Stocks have seen another leg down yesterday during the US session so it’s not a surprise that Nikkei keeps moving lower which makes JPY very strong in this risk-off environment with lower Yields/ higher notes. Notice that USDJPY made only a three wave rally from recent low so pair remains bearish and looks … Continued

Intermediate

USDCHF Aims Higher and Crude OIL Points Lower

Hi traders, USDCHF is currently recovering from the 0.9861 region, giving us an idea of a possibly completed three-wave correction within wave 2, which points to more upside. If that is the case, then a bullish continuation may now be in play, which can break above the 1.0006 bullish level and above the upper channel … Continued

Intermediate

Germam DAX and NZDJPY

Hi traders, German DAX can be unfolding a bigger, overlapping decline down from 11692 level, which we see it as a EW ending diagonal. A EW ending diagonal is a powerful reversal pattern, that consists out of five waves, and each of them has three sub-waves. That said, at the moment we see price unfolding … Continued

Intermediate

Crude OIL and EURJPY Intra-day Develoments

Hello traders, No bullish evidences on Crude oil yet. That said, seems like Crude oil still can see new lows below 50 area, but carefully because it’s the final wave 5 of 5), so bounce may occur anytime. Watch out for spikes as well. However, as long as Crude oil keeps trading within bearish Elliott … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: EURGBP and GBPJPY

Hi traders, EURGBP made a sharp rally recently, away from 0.865 level which was quite expected, as we were tracking final stages of a bigger corrective wave B). This recovery we now labelled as wave 1 of a bigger bullish rally, which looks to have found a top and resistance at the 0.894 level, from … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: EURUSD and BTCUSD Update

EURUSD looks as it has ended its complex decline, down from September highs as we see all three waves W,X,Y unfolded. Also price made a recovery at the 1.122 level, indicating that wave Y found a low, and that a minimum three-wave reversal to the upside is now in play. In such case, we would … Continued

Intermediate

Elliott wave Analysis: S&P500 and EURJPY Update

Stocks rallied yesterday, which has been technically expected as we see E-mini SP500 futures moving down into fifth wave of decline with a wedge shape. This pattern was broken to the upside, so market is now in a three wave corrective bounce. It’s a temporary recovery that can be slowed down at 2755-2770 area, but … Continued