In this section we have gathered all forex forecasts and market analyses that contain a video. If you like to listen to a video explaining the analysis based on a chart pattern, instead of a long text where you have to read the analysis, you have come to the right place. The headings below should give you a pretty good picture on what the respective video is about. If you’re looking for analyses of specific currency pairs, please visit our forex rates section, where you can see the latest analyses and videos for the respective currency pairs. Most analyses in the videos below are based on technical analysis primarily looking at support and resistance levels, and we would greatly appreciate any feedback from you as a reader here, contact us.
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Ongoing growth and inflation concerns have left global financial markets in “risk off” mode, and still vulnerable to further erratic, “risk off” moves. Growth concerns have been sparked by three main factors: ongoing supply chain worries fuelling inflation fears Inflation worries putting the spotlight on Central Banks and in particular the Fed … Continued
US Dollar Index breaks up (DXY forecast) Euro breaks down, but futures has a major support nearby (EURUSD forecast) Aussie drifts down (AUDUSD forecast) Dollar-CAD breaks up (USDCAD forecast)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The ongoing global spread of the COVID-19 Delta variant and the concerns regarding the new Mu variant, have impacted on growth expectations. In addition, ongoing supply chain worries have continued to fuel inflation fears and accentuate growth concerns. These factors leave global financial markets vulnerable to erratic, “risk off” moves. On Thursday … Continued
US Dollar send positive signal (DXY forecast) Euro signals negative (EURUSD forecast) Aussie negative statement (AUDUSD forecast)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The standout economic event last week was the August US Employment report on Friday, which was disappointing, the headline Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data missed expectations, posting at 235K, with 750K expected. Prior monthly gains were revised higher though, whilst the Unemployment Rate fell to a pandemic-era low at 5.2%. Global Purchasing Managers … Continued
Euro stalls ahead of major upside target US Dollar Index major support looms below Kiwi reaches next upside target
Reversals in Aussie and Kiwi (AUDUSD and NZDUSD forecasts) NZDUSD is still below its breakdown point having signalled a false breakdown
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The standout economic event last week was the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, but it ended up as a non-event, as Fed Chair Powell did not signal anything different than previously communicated with respect to removing policy accommodation. The chaos, unrest and terrorist activity in Afghanistan has had muted impact on global … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The standout event last week was the Fed Minutes which showed increasing talk of tapering Bond purchases later this year. The data even last week were the US Retail Sales numbers which fell 1.1% in July (though June data was revised higher). Chinese stocks remain under pressures with the ongoing regulatory clampdown … Continued
Pound, Aussie and Kiwi break down (GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD forecasts) Dollar Cad breaks up and hits major upside target (USDCAD forecast)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The standout event in a light data week was the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, with the ex-Food & Energy number coming in at 0.3%, below consensus estimates. On the fiscal side, the US Senate passed the infrastructure spending bill, approximately USD 1 trillion with about USD 560 billion of new … Continued
Negative USD signal (DXY forecast) Positive on Euro (EURUSD forecast) Pound holds support (GBPUSD forecast) So does Euro-Pound (EURGBP forecast)
US Dollar holds support (DXY forecast) Negatives appear on Pound and Aussie (GBPUSD and AUDUSD forecast) Yen holds support and reaches first upside target (USDJPY forecast)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Last week, global financial markets were still digesting the big event of the prior week with the US Federal Reserve signalling a more hawkish tone than the financial markets had anticipated. Fed officials this past week have sought to calm markets and allay fears that they were about to start to tighten … Continued
US Dollar support focus (DXY forecast) Pound send positive signal, but resistance above (GBPUSD forecast) Positives also on Aussie and Kiwi, but still see resistances (AUDUSD and NZDUSD forecasts) Negatives on US Dollar-CAD signals end of uptrend (USDCAD forecast)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The big event of the past week was US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate decision and statement on Wednesday. The FOMC dot plot chart at least two quarter-point rate increases in 2023. This was a more hawkish tone than the US and global financial markets had anticipated, causing significant price … Continued
Euro breaks down (EURUSD forecast) Pound support disappears (GBPUSD forecast) Aussie breaks down and Kiwi closes below major support (AUDUSD and NZDUSD forecasts) US Dollar-CAD breaks up (USDCAD forecast)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments US CPI data was higher than expectations, with the headline data posting at 5% year-on-year for May, at its fastest pace since August 2008, with the core rate at 3.8%, its highest for nearly three decades. But Bond markets and stock indices shrugged off this data, with moves to lower yields and … Continued
US Dollar Index holds support and threatens to break up (DXY forecast) Euro closes just above key support (EURUSD forecast) Negative on Pound needs to be confirmed (GBPUSD forecast) US Dollar-CAD breaks up (USDCAD forecast)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Another quiet week in financial markets up until Friday, despite a busy data calendar. Markets kicked into life after Friday’s US Employment report, which saw 559K jobs added in May, which was slightly worse than expectations. Over the weekend, the G7 agreed a global minimum corporate tax of 15%. Global financial market … Continued
Dollar Index holds key weekly support Key support rises on the Euro Negative appears on Dollar Yen Negative also seen on Pound. Tug of war in Dollar-CAD, awaiting the breakout.
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments A quiet week in financial markets with muted central bank activity and a relatively light data calendar. The standout on Wednesday was a more hawkish tone from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). This helped the New Zealand Dollar post firm gains across the Forex board. Cryptocurrencies remained volatile, with Bitcoin … Continued
Positives appear on US Dollar-Yen (USDJPY forecast) Negative signalled on Aussie (AUDUSD forecast) Dollar-CAD posts extremely rare positives! (USDCAD forecast)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Inflation concerns remain, after the recent spike in US CPI data. The Fed Minutes on Wednesday highlighted an improving US economy but still far from the Fed’s goals, this did not have a significant impact on global financial markets. Tensions in Gaza have eased with an Israel-Hamas ceasefire announced. The Indian COVID … Continued
Dollar Index repeatedly holds final critical support (DXY forecast) Negative on Dollar-Yen (USDJPY forecast) And on Kiwi (NZDUSD forecast) These need to be confirmed by a breakdown through support
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The US Consumer Price Index released on Wednesday came in at 4.2% from a year ago and 0.8% from March, significantly higher than expected. This data heightened US and wider inflation concerns, which had already spooked Big Tech stocks through mid-May, pulling broader equity indices lower. Tensions in Israel have had little … Continued
US Dollar fails at key resistance Euro holds support Aussie and Kiwi need to confirm fresh negatives
An interview with Jack Schwager, legendary author of the Market Wizards series of trader interviews, who has 22 years experience as a Director of Futures Research for some of Wall Street’s largest firms, including Prudential Securities. Jack is also currently championing Fund Seeder, as a co-founder. FundSeeder.com is a platform devised to find unknown global trading talent and to connect these unknown but … Continued
Dollar Index fails to confirm bullish signal and then breaks down Euro holds support and breaks up Positives on Aussie and Kiwi US Dollar-CAD accelerates lower
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments US President Biden announced his $1.8 trillion American Families Plan (human infrastructure) to complement the $2 trillion infrastructure plan announced at the end of March. Earnings season has continued with more positives, with Amazon, Google, Apple, Facebook and Tesla all beating estimates (though the price action on these stocks has not been … Continued
Major sell on Euro (EURUSD forecast) Negative on Pound (GBPUSD forecast) Major support on Aussie switches to resistance (AUDUSD forecast) US Dollar-Canadian Dollar breaks down (USDCAD forecast)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments US President Biden announced a potentially significant increase in Capital Gains Tax (CGT) rates, which had a negative impact on US (and global) risk assets. Earnings season has continued with mostly positives, though Netflix missed the expectations of analysts on new subscribers, which was a broader negative for new media/ big tech. … Continued
US Dollar Index breaks down (DXY forecast) Euro breaks up (EURUSD forecast)
Dollar Index negative signal (DXY forecast) Pound posts positives (GBPUSD forecast) Euro-Pound Reversing (EURGBP forecast)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments US Retail Sales data for March came in extremely strong on Thursday, beating expectation with a rise of 9.8% MoM. Earnings season has kicked off in earnest in the US, with the Banks and Financials leading the way, in most instances beating expectations. The European vaccine rollout has improved, although it still … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments On the Central Bank side last week, we had the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes released on Wednesday and Fed Chairman Powell spoke on Thursday. The FOMC Meeting Minutes and speech by Powell simply reiterated a still ongoing dovish stance. This has seen US yields retreat from multi-year yield highs … Continued
A quiet week sees the US Dollar retreat to first support (DXY forecast) The Euro reaches its upside target (EURUSD forecast) Major reversal on Euro-Pound (EURGBP forecast)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The global Market and US Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) reports were out on Thursday and were broadly better than expected. The US Employment report for March was released on Friday and the Non-Farm Payroll data far exceeded the anticipated number of 675K, posting at 916K, whilst … Continued
Minor positive appears on Euro (EURUSD forecast) Dollar-Yen continues to outperform (USDJPY forecast) Small positive appear on Aussie and Kiwi and negative on USDCAD (AUDUSD, NZDUSD and USDCAD forecasts)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments In various speaking engagements this past week Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has reiterated the US Central Bank’s dovish stance. This saw US yields (and global bonds) move back modestly to lower yield territory (from recent high yield extremes). The German Ifo business climate index for March posted at to 96.6 from 92.7 … Continued
Dollar Index and Dollar-Yen break up (DXY and USDJPY forecasts) Aussie and Kiwi post positives (AUDUSD and NZDUSD forecasts) EuroPound close to restarting the downtrend (EURGBP forecast)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The focus this past week was on the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate decision, statement and press conference, with a still very dovish stance emphasised again. However, a slight shift in the dot plot chart towards a possibly earlier than expected rate hike in 2022 from some members eventually … Continued
A very quiet week sees resistance drop on the Dollar Index and lowers the breakout point (DXY forecast) Positive appears on Dollar-CAD (USDCAD forecast) A major buy signal appears on Euro-Pound (EURGBP forecast)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments President Biden’s $1.9 trillion COVID relief bill was passed into law this week. A lower-than-expected US CPI report on Wednesday calmed inflationary worries and built on the strong US jobs report from the prior week. This sent value stocks surging higher and allowed for a rebound in growth stocks, which continue to … Continued
Dollar reverses (DXY forecast) Euro posts positive along with Pound (EURUSD and GBPUSD forecasts) Kiwi holds support and Dollar-CAD close to breaking down (NZDUSD and USDCAD forecasts)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Another relatively quiet week for global financial markets from a macroeconomic and geopolitical perspective, but as at the end of February price action across the major asset classes was still volatile. The ongoing development last week was the continuing surge in global yields, particularly in the US and notably at the longer … Continued
Dollar Index break up (DXY forecast) Euro reaches first downside target (EURUSD forecast) Kiwi also hits support target (NZDUSD forecast)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments This past week has been all about frenzied stock market exuberance, often a reflection of an inflating equity market “bubble” and the fears and concerns that this activity brings. GameStop shares have skyrocketed in the past week having already seen an aggressive rise in January, driven by a herd mentality of individual … Continued
Here is an in-depth interview with Jim Martens, Elliott Wave International’s (EWI) Senior Currency Strategist and editor of the trader-focused Currency Pro Service. In this interview, we will discuss the Major currency pairs, including EURUSD, the US Dollar Index (DXY), GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDJPY, AUDUSD and USDCAD. Here is a link to a free report on trading … Continued