The analysis of markets is a critical part of the trading decisions of any trader or investor. The individual trader or trading group may have a preference for: Macroeconomic Analysis, Microeconomics Analysis, Fundamental Analysis, Behavioural Analysis, Quantitative Analysis and Technical Analysis. But whichever approach is employed, it is through this analysis that the trader decides:
In this section we provide daily, real time market views including currency pairs forecasts, primarily through the approach of Technical Analysis, but also by utilising other approaches to market analysis. Many of our analyses also contains a video explaining the analyses. Click here for all video analyses and here for all forex news.
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank activity is modest this week, but with Fd speakers still in the spotlight, notably Powell on Monday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are the global PMI which are released Tuesday and Thursday, and of course … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the Reserve Bank Australia Interest Rate Decision and Rate Statement on Tuesday and the same from the Swiss National Bank (SNB) on Thursday, along with the Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes and … Continued
The FOMC meeting and press conference for September was projected to be a dovish one. Fed Chair Powell was expected to cut rates by 50 bps. The preponderance of Wall Street lackeys were busy begging for a series of immediate and deep reductions in borrowing costs. Some in D.C., like Senator Elizabeth Warren, were obsequiously … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activity this week is the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday and the Bank of England Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Report on Thursday. Some other activities of note are the Bank … Continued
Positive US Dollar Index (DXY forecast) US Dollar-Yen attacks major support (USDJPY forecast)
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week is the European Central Bank Monetary Policy decision, statement and press conference on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US CPI data on Wednesday. Some other releases of … Continued
US Dollar Index downtrend ends, for now Aussie, Kiwi and CAD underperform
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main Central Bank activity this week is the Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US Job data on Friday. Some other releases of … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: No significant central bank activity this week, but Fed speakers will be key as always. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US PCE data on Thursday and Friday, with Friday’s data key. Some other releases of … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main focus will be on FOMC Minutes on Wednesday and Jackson Hole Symposium from Thursday. Other central bank activities this week are the People’s Bank of China Interest Rate decision on Tuesday and the Reserve Bank of Australia Meeting Minutes also … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: A light week for central banks, we get the Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes on Monday and the Reserve Bank of Australia Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Tuesday. Macro Data Watch: A quiet week for macroeconomic data, … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Tuesday, Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday and the Bank of England Interest Rate Decision, Monetary Policy … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the The People’s Bank of China Interest Rate Decision on Monday and the Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The key macro data releases this … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank focus will be on the ECB Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are inflation data from the UK, EU, Canada and Japan, Retail Sales from China, Germany … Continued
Global debt has soared to a record $307 trillion, rising by a staggering $100 trillion over the past decade, and now represents 340% of world GDP. This is why there is no easy escape from the upcoming recession. The salve to bring economies back after a drop in asset prices and contraction in growth has … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Fed Chair Powell testifies to Congress on Tuesday. The only other central bank activity of note is the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy Statement on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank activity is light this week with the focus on Fed speakers. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are the global CPI data throughout the week. But the main focal points for the week will be the … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank focus will be on the RBA Interest Rate Decision on Tuesday, BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes Wednesday and PBoC and SNB Interest Rate Decisions on Thursday. But the main spotlight is on the BoE Interest Rate Decision and Monetary Policy … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week is the FOMC Interest Rate Decision and Policy Statement on Wednesday. One other release of note is the Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision and Policy Statement on Friday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The main central bank activities this week are the Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision and Policy Statement on Wednesday and the EU Monetary Policy Statement on Thursday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data released this upcoming week are the global … Continued
The recent spate of economic data continues to point to a weakening economy, but one that is not yet precipitously falling into recession. The Philly Fed Index was released late last week. The diffusion index for current general activity declined 11 points to 4.5 in May. The index for new orders declined from 12.2 to … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank activity is light this week but watching Fed speakers in the last week before the FOMC External Communications Blackout Period from 1st June. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data releases this week are the German CPI data on Wednesday, … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank focus will be on the PBoC interest rate decision Monday, the RBA Meeting Minutes Tuesday and the RBNZ interest rate decision Tuesday. But the main spotlight will be on the FOMC Meeting Minutes Wednesday, as well as Fed speakers through … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Central bank activity is modest this week. The key focus will be the Fed speakers after the release of the US CPI data on Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The main macro data release this week is the US CPI data on Wednesday. … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: The most important central bank activities this week are the FOMC Minutes on Wednesday ECB Monetary Policy Decision and Statement on Thursday. We will also observe the RBNZ and BoC Interest Rate Decisions and Statements Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: Global CPI data … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: No Central Bank activity of note, but we are watching for further indications for the path of future US interest rates from FOMC speakers. Macro Data Watch: Global PMI data is released through the week, with the US ISM PMI data of … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: No Central Bank activity of note, but we do get the Bank of Japan Monetary Policy meeting minutes on Monday. This should give further insight after last week’s interest rate hike. Plus, after last week’s Fed meeting we are watching for further … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: A busy week for Central Banks highlighted by interest rate decisions from the BoJ and RBA Tuesday, the PBoC and FOMC Wednesday and the BoE Thursday. Macro Data Watch: Lots of data to be released this week with the focus being global … Continued
What to expect from US Industrial Production data Scheduled for release at 14:15 GMT on Friday, March 15, the US Industrial Production data for February is highly anticipated by economists, policymakers, and investors. This report provides crucial insights into the performance and trends within the manufacturing, mining, and utility sectors, offering valuable indications of economic … Continued
What to expect from US PPI data The upcoming US Producer Price Index (PPI) report, scheduled for release on Thursday, March 14th at 13:30 GMT, is poised to offer critical insights into inflationary pressures within the economy, particularly at the producer level. Analysts’ consensus estimates for February’s PPI report indicate expectations for modest inflationary growth. … Continued
What to Expect from the US CPI Report Scheduled for release on March 12th, 2024, at 12:30 GMT, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for February is poised to attract significant attention from economists, policymakers, and investors alike. This report offers crucial insights into inflationary trends, guiding monetary policy decisions and shaping market expectations. … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Nothing of note from central banks this week, but as ever Fed speakers must be watched. Macro Data Watch: The standout data for the week will be US CPI on Tuesday, plus we also get the UK Employment report and German CPI … Continued
What to Expect from the US Employment Report As anticipation builds for the release of the US Employment Report, economists and market analysts are closely scrutinising various indicators to gauge the health of the labour market and broader economy. Here’s what to expect from the upcoming report based on recent data and expert forecasts. Economists … Continued
The UK Spring Budget is a pivotal event in the nation’s fiscal calendar, where the Chancellor of the Exchequer outlines the government’s taxation and spending plans for the upcoming financial year. This annual presentation typically occurs in March and serves as a platform for the Chancellor to address Parliament and the public, detailing key economic … Continued
Current Climate: US Economy and Fed Speakers Outlook Federal Reserve officials have recently conveyed a cautious stance regarding the possibility of swift interest rate cuts, reflecting their assessment of the current state of the US economy. Governor Michelle Bowman, among others, emphasised the importance of maintaining the policy rate steady, citing potential risks to inflation … Continued
What to Expect from the UK Budget Report The UK Budget Report, scheduled for presentation by Treasury Chancellor Jeremy Hunt on Wednesday, 6th March at 12:30 GMT, is poised to address critical fiscal and economic matters impacting the nation. Traditionally, the Budget serves as a roadmap for the government’s financial plans for the upcoming fiscal … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: A notable week for central banks, as we see the Bank of Canada (BoC) interest rate decision Wednesday, followed by the European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate decision, Statement: and Conference Thursday. Plus, an important focus will be as Fed Chair Jerome … Continued
What to Expect from US PMI data The upcoming release of US PMI data is highly anticipated by analysts and investors, providing crucial insights into the performance of the manufacturing sector. S&P Global is set to release its Manufacturing PMI for February at 2:45 GMT, with expectations hovering around 51.5, matching the flash estimate reported … Continued
What to Expect from the US PCE Data The upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data release, scheduled for 13:30 GMT on Thursday, February 29th, is expected to provide insights into the trajectory of inflation in the United States. Economists anticipate that the report will confirm January’s setback in the battle against rapid cost-of-living increases. … Continued
What to expect from the US GDP data The upcoming first revision of Q4 US GDP data, scheduled for Wednesday, February 28th at 13:30 GMT, is highly anticipated as it provides a comprehensive assessment of the nation’s economic performance during the fourth quarter. This data, released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, offers insights … Continued
What to expect from the US Durable Goods data Investors and economists eagerly await the release of the US Durable Goods data, scheduled for 13:30 GMT on Tuesday, February 27th. The report by the US Census Bureau provides crucial insights into the health of the manufacturing sector and broader economic activity in the United States. … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: A very quiet week for central banks, but we do see the Reserve Bank of New Zealand interest rate decision Wednesday. Macro Data Watch: The focus this week will be on German Gfk Consumer Confidence, Retail Sales, Unemployment and CPI, US Durable … Continued
What to Expect from the US S&P Global PMI Releases As the U.S. S&P Global PMI releases approach, scheduled for 14:45 GMT on Thursday, February 22nd, 2024, analysts are anticipating crucial insights into the country’s economic performance. Consensus forecasts suggest a slight moderation in the S&P Global Services PMI for February, with expectations set at … Continued
What to expect from Nvidia’s Earnings Nvidia’s forthcoming Q4 2023 earnings call, scheduled for Wednesday, February 21st, 2024, is anticipated to be a pivotal event not only for the company itself but also for the broader technology landscape, particularly in the realm of artificial intelligence (AI). As the third most valuable company on Wall Street, … Continued
Why are Walmart’s Earnings so Important? Walmart, the world’s largest retailer by revenue, is a multinational retail corporation headquartered in Bentonville, Arkansas, USA. Founded in 1962 by Sam Walton, Walmart operates a chain of hypermarkets, discount department stores, and grocery stores across the globe. With a presence in 27 countries and e-commerce operations in 10 … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Holidays: As Asian markets return from the Lunar New Year holidays last week, the US President’s Day holiday is on Monday 19th February. Central Bank Watch: A relatively quiet week for central banks, but we do see the PBoC Interest Rate Decision Tuesday. Macro Data … Continued
What to Expect from NatWest’s Earnings Investors eagerly anticipate NatWest’s 2023 Q4 earnings call, scheduled for release on Friday, February 16th, 2024. With a market cap of £17.851B, the bank faces high expectations following its recent challenges and amidst significant market competition. In light of the forecasted Q4 EPS of £0.07 and revenue forecast of … Continued
As investors gear up for the upcoming Retail Sales data releases in the United States and the United Kingdom on February 15th and 16th, respectively, anticipation is high for insights into consumer spending trends. These releases serve as vital economic indicators, offering a glimpse into the pulse of consumer activity and broader economic conditions. What … Continued
US CPI Expectations As anticipation builds for the upcoming release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on February 13th, market participants are bracing for critical insights into the state of inflation. This data arrives amidst a backdrop of heightened attention following a robust January jobs report and the Federal Reserve‘s cautious stance on inflation. … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Other Events: Chinese New Year is this week, so mainland Chinese markets and other Asian markets will be closed, so Asian sessions could be particularly quiet. Central Bank Watch: A quiet week for central banks, Fed speakers always in focus. Macro Data Watch: A busy … Continued
Why are AstraZeneca’s Earnings so Important? AstraZeneca is a leading global biopharmaceutical company renowned for its innovative medicines in areas such as oncology, cardiovascular, respiratory, and immunology. As one of the largest pharmaceutical companies worldwide, AstraZeneca’s earnings releases are highly anticipated and closely monitored by investors, analysts, and healthcare professionals. These releases provide critical insights … Continued
Why are Vodafone’s Earnings so Important? Vodafone Group Plc, commonly known as Vodafone, is a global telecommunications company headquartered in London, United Kingdom. With operations spanning across Europe, Africa, Asia, and Oceania, Vodafone is one of the world’s largest telecommunications providers, offering mobile and fixed-line services, broadband, and digital television. The company’s earnings releases hold … Continued
The US 2023 fourth-quarter earnings season is in full swing, with 230 S&P 500 companies already reporting. Impressively, 80% of these companies have exceeded Wall Street’s expectations, as reported by LSEG. Last week was extremely busy, seeing the likes of Microsoft and Alphabet earnings Tuesday and Amazon, Apple and Meta reporting Thursday. This week will … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: A quiet week for central banks, with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Tuesday, plus as always, a focus on Fed speakers. Macro Data Watch: Also, a quiet week for data. The focus for the week will be Monday’s Services and Composite … Continued
Updated 02/02/2024: Apple’s 2023 Q4 earnings call, unveiled on February 1st, 2024, showcased the tech giant’s financial prowess, with figures that slightly outperformed expectations. The reported earnings per share (EPS) stood at $2.18, surpassing the forecasted $2.1. The revenue for the quarter reached a remarkable $119.58 billion, exceeding the anticipated $118.06 billion. These robust financial … Continued
What is the US Employment Report? The US Employment Report, a monthly release from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), serves as an essential economic compass, offering in-depth perspectives on the dynamics of the nation’s labour market. This comprehensive report comprises several critical metrics, prominently featuring nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rates, and average hourly earnings. … Continued
Update 31/01/2024: Microsoft’s 2023 Q4 earnings call, released on January 30th, 2024, showcased a robust financial performance for the tech giant. According to data from investing.com, Microsoft reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $2.93, surpassing the forecasted EPS of $2.78. The company’s revenue for the quarter reached $62 billion, slightly exceeding the predicted revenue … Continued
The Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision is a pivotal event in global financial markets, representing the central bank’s determination of the target range for the federal funds rate. This rate influences the cost of borrowing and lending throughout the economy, impacting various sectors, including consumer spending, business investment, and financial markets. The Fed typically … Continued
The Inflation Deflation and Economic Cycle Model measures the liquidity impulse from fiscal and monetary policies. This is how we determine what will occur with the ROC of inflation and economic growth. The current liquidity factors that must be measured are the Treasury General Account (TGA), Reverse Repurchase Agreement (RRP), Fed’s balance sheet, Federal Funds … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: A significant week for central banks with monetary policy decisions on Wednesday from the Fed and on Thursday from the Bank of England (BoE). Macro Data Watch: Standouts this week are EU GDP (YoY, QoQ) on Tuesday, Japan Retail Trade and Sales … Continued
Caterpillar Earnings Caterpillar Inc., a global leader in manufacturing construction and mining equipment, engines, and industrial gas turbines, holds significant importance in the financial landscape. Renowned for its iconic yellow machinery, Caterpillar is a key player in the machinery and equipment sector, providing essential tools for construction, resource extraction, and infrastructure development worldwide. Why are … Continued
What is the European Central Bank? The European Central Bank (ECB) is the central banking authority responsible for formulating and implementing monetary policy within the Eurozone. Established in 1998 and headquartered in Frankfurt, Germany, the ECB plays a pivotal role in maintaining price stability and supporting sustainable economic growth across the member countries that share … Continued
In the ever-evolving landscape of financial markets, corporate earnings releases stand as pivotal moments, offering investors and analysts a lens into the financial health and strategic trajectories of major companies. Today, we continue to cover the ongoing US Earnings releases, having given a preview on 23rd January releases. This article will delve into the anticipated … Continued
An earnings release, a critical financial document, is issued quarterly by publicly traded companies to disclose financial performance. Mandated by regulatory authorities like the SEC, it includes income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements. This report communicates a company’s financial health, operational achievements, and future outlook to investors and analysts. Investors analyse it closely … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Although the Fed have entered their blackout period, a bust week elsewhere for Central Banks, as we get interest rate decisions from the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) Monday, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) on Tuesday, the Bank of Canada (BoC) on … Continued
What is a Fed Blackout Period The Federal Reserve, as the central banking system of the United States, plays a crucial role in shaping monetary policy and influencing economic conditions. The Fed’s communication is closely monitored by financial markets, and one notable aspect of this communication strategy is the “Fed blackout period.” A Fed blackout … Continued
TSMC Stocks Surge, with Positive 2024 Outlook due to Continued Apple Collaboration and AI Boom Who are TSMC? Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) stands as a global giant in the semiconductor industry, boasting a market capitalization of 486.28 billion and commanding a pivotal role in the manufacturing landscape. Established in 1987, TSMC has evolved into … Continued
As we approach Friday January 19th the first full week of the US Q4 earnings season comes to a close. Investors are preparing for a flurry of corporate earnings releases that will provide key insights into the financial health of major companies. Among the notable players scheduled to announce their earnings on Friday are; Schlumberger, … Continued
What are US Retail Sales US Retail Sales data releases are economic indicators that measure the total receipts of retail stores, providing a comprehensive snapshot of consumer spending on goods. These releases encompass a wide range of retail categories, including clothing, electronics, groceries, and other consumer products. The data is collected and reported by the … Continued
Earnings Releases Earnings releases from investment banks like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are vital for financial markets, serving as key indicators of the financial industry’s health, risk management, and overall economic conditions. These reports influence market sentiment, guide investment decisions, and provide insights into the banks’ adaptability to changing economic environments. There were multiple … Continued
Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Central Bank Watch: Nothing of note from Central banks this coming week, but as ever we will be watching Fed speakers in the final week before they enter their blackout period. Macro Data Watch: The World Economic Forum in Davos runs all week from 15th-19th … Continued
Friday signalled a pivotal juncture with the kick off of the US Earnings Season, as notable companies disclosed their performance metrics. Investors, analysts, and market enthusiasts carefully analysed the data to inform their trading decisions and try to trade the news. This examination zeroes in on the releases from financial corporations that initiated the Q4 … Continued