Daily Digest:
28 March 2024: US stock averages soared back higher with a broadening rally, back to record levels again Wednesday

Current Market Analysis

The analysis of markets is a critical part of the trading decisions of any trader or investor. The individual trader or trading group may have a preference for: Macroeconomic Analysis, Microeconomics Analysis, Fundamental Analysis, Behavioural Analysis, Quantitative Analysis and Technical Analysis. But whichever approach is employed, it is through this analysis that the trader decides:

  • If to buy or sell an asset
  • At which levels to enter a trade
  • At which level to put the target to hopefully take profit on the trade
  • Or, if the analysis proves incorrect, when and where is the trade wrong and at which level to exit the trade.

In this section we provide daily, real time market views including currency pairs forecasts, primarily through the approach of Technical Analysis, but also by utilising other approaches to market analysis. Many of our analyses also contains a video explaining the analyses. Click here for all video analyses and here for all forex news.


Beginner

Are half of FTSE AIM investors really only invested into one stock?

There’s high risk, high reward — and then there’s blurring the lines between investing and gambling. Let’s dive in. As an avid small cap investor, I like to conduct the occasional social poll on my followers. This morning’s vote was to do with diversification — with the poll asking how many shares you held in … Continued

Intermediate

Shutdown Fears + Oil and Yield Surge + Evergrande Woes => Risk Off

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 10/02/2023 Global Manufacturing PMI from S&P Global; US ISM Manufacturing PMI; Fed’s Powell speaks; EU Unemployment 10/03/2023 RBA interest rate decision and statement 10/04/2023 RBNZ interest rate decision and statement; Global Services and Composite PMI from S&P Global; EU Retail Sales; … Continued

Intermediate

So, This Spac Boom, It’s All Gone, Right? Recent Results Prove That

It’s possible to think that the Spac boom is near its end. We can approach this through theory, we can approach it through cynical realism, we can approach it through recent results. This isn’t to say that no Spac (or “despac”) deal is ever going to work but perhaps it’s time to admit that the … Continued

Intermediate

FTSE AIM: ISA changes and Inheritance Tax volatility

FTSE-only ISA allowances could boost the AIM market sharply; scrapping Inheritance Tax could have the opposite effect. Read why below. Cast your mind back to November 2022 — centuries in investing, and yet less than a year ago. After the Truss-Kwarteng mini-budget adventure, Chancellor Jeremy Hunt is telling the nation that even though we are … Continued

Intermediate

“Higher for Longer” Fed Mantra Sees Yields Spike, Stocks Plunge

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 09/25/2023 German IFO Survey 09/26/2023 US Consumer Confidence 09/27/2023 Bank of Japan Meeting Minutes; Australian CPI; US Durable Goods Orders 09/28/2023 German CPI; US GDP and Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) QoQ; Fed’s Powell speaks 09/29/2023 UK GDP; German Retail Sales and … Continued

Intermediate

Here Comes The Cannabis Boom! Federal Legalisation!

There is much excitement in the cannabis industry as the Federales start to talk about legalisation. Or changing the legal description and restrictions at least. Or something in the run up to an election perhaps. This might not be as wondrous as many a share price seems to assume. The particular and specific is that … Continued

Intermediate

Pharma Investing – The FDA Matters, CE, UKCA and Patents Don’t

Investing in development pharmaceutical companies is one of those high risk rollercoasters that can be terribly exciting – and, if done right, profitable. But to be profitable it’s essential to understand the structure of how the business works. Precisely because it’s a rollercoaster some managements can be a little more aggressive, to be mild about … Continued

Beginner

A big week upcoming for Central Banks

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 09/18/2023 No events of note 09/19/2023 RBA meeting minutes, EU CPI, Canadian CPI 09/20/2023 UK CPI report, FOMC interest rate decision, monetary policy statement and economic projections 09/21/2023 Swiss National Bank interest rate decision and monetary policy assessment, Bank of England … Continued

Intermediate

The Soft-landing Narrative is a Myth

The US recession is merely delayed, not canceled. The soft-landing narrative is a myth. The government’s fiscal stimulus in 2023 has temporarily lifted the GDP growth rate. However, fiscal stimulus is not a reliable source of economic growth. It undermines productivity in the long term. It also creates problems such as higher taxes, higher interest … Continued

Beginner

Imperial Brands and Legal and General – vast dividends but unfashionable

Few people buy things that are unfashionable, that’s rather what it means. Therefore unfashionable things are cheap. It’s one of those basic little rules – fashionable things are expensive because, well, they’re fashionable. Fashion itself just means that lots of people want it – so, simple supply and demand, lots wanting, the price goes up. … Continued

Intermediate

Higher yields and renewed Fed hike worries, sees shift back to“risk off”

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 09/11/2023 Nothing of note 09/12/2023 UK Employment report; German ZEW Survey 09/13/2023 UK GDP, Industrial and Manufacturing Production; US CPI 09/14/2023 Australian Employment report; ECB interest rate decision and press conference; US PPI and Retail Sales 09/15/2023 Chinese Industrial Production and … Continued

Intermediate

Is China on the verge of a credit event?

Increasing Sino-US tensions, emergency fiscal measures, and a collapsing real estate sector all signpost a near-term serious economic shock. While economists have been warning that China faces imminent economic collapse since the start of the economic miracle, the warning signs coming out of the Communist country’s heavily massaged figures are blaring red. Of course, this … Continued

Intermediate

Dwindling chances of a further Fed hike shifts market sentiment

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 09/04/2023 US Labor Day public holiday 09/05/2023 Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy, Final Services PMIs for Eurozone & UK, US Factory Orders 09/06/2023 Australian GDP, Bank of Canada monetary policy; ISM Services PMI, Fed’s Beige Book 09/07/2023 China’s Trade Balance; … Continued

Intermediate

What if Tingo is just Polly Peck all over again?

Tingo (NASDAQ: TIO) is a company operating in the agricultural and fintech space in Nigeria and other parts of West Africa. Tingo is also the latest target of Hindenburg who insist the entire set up is a scam from start to finish. Well, that certainly plays into all our prejudices about Nigerian 419 scams and … Continued

Intermediate

Divergent central banks help drive a USD rally

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 08/28/2023 n/a 08/29/2023 US Consumer Confidence, JOLTS Jobs Openings 08/30/2023 Australian CPI inflation; German prelim CPI; ADP Employment Change, US Prelim GDP, Pending Home Sales 08/31/2023 China Official PMIs; Eurozone Flash HICP inflation and Unemployment, ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts; US … Continued

Intermediate

What is Next for Treasury Yields?

The Fed’s minutes for their latest meeting held in July showed the committee’s interest in raising interest rates further due to upside risks to inflation that is already well above their target level. The Fed is also perpetually worried about growth, which of course has nothing to do with inflation. After all, people working and … Continued

Intermediate

Nvidia blows the top off estimates, driving a decisive Wall Street rally

One of the big stories of 2023 has been the impressive rally of the NASDAQ and the huge outperformance of Big Tech. The main driver of this has been US chipmaker, Nvidia. The semiconductor company that provides the processors crucial for Artificial Intelligence applications such as ChatGPT, has been at the forefront of the tech … Continued

Intermediate

FTSE AIM: understanding market sentiment

A placing RNS is the constant fear of AIM investors, while spectacular gains are also never far from their minds. As a high risk, high reward investor, many of my favourite stocks can be found on the Financial Times Stock Exchange Alternative Investment Market — or FTSE AIM as the snazzy acronym goes. I also … Continued

Intermediate

Oil futures could top out amid a shift in supply/demand dynamics

There has been a decisive recovery in oil futures since late June. A recovery that threatened to break decisively clear of key resistance and change the medium to longer-term outlook. However, the mood has shifted in the past couple of weeks, with futures going into retreat. This has come as there has been a shift … Continued

Intermediate

Well, Yes, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac – the Feds did steal them

True, we’ve got to use a colloquial, not legal, sense of the word “steal” here. But the shareholders of Fannie Mae (OTCQB: FNMA) and Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) can indeed now claim that a court has said that their companies, their shares, were stolen from them. Just to make sure here, we are using that … Continued

Intermediate

Chinese woes and higher bond yields rattle markets

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 08/21/2023 n/a 08/22/2023 Existing Home Sales, Richmond Fed Manufacturing 08/23/2023 Flash PMIs from Australia, Japan, Eurozone, UK and the US; Eurozone Consumer Confidence; US New Home Sales 08/24/2023 ECB minutes; US Weekly Jobless Claims, Durable Goods Orders; Jackson Hole Economic Symposium … Continued

Intermediate

Mounting corrective forces are dragging US index futures lower

There has been a shift in sentiment in recent weeks. After having rallied consistently for over four months, US index futures have turned lower. Previously, unwinding moves were seen as a chance to buy. However, we are increasingly now seeing rallies used as an opportunity to sell. The corrective forces are mounting, both fundamentally and … Continued

Intermediate

A chink of light for NZD bulls with the RBNZ to remain “restrictive”

Perception can be crucial to the performance of an asset. Traders have been focused on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) having finished its hiking cycle. With other major central banks either still tightening, or potentially still tightening, the NZD has been mired in underperformance against major currencies. However, could this now be about … Continued

Expert

Marula Mining: the state of play nine months down the line

In November 2002, I characterised MARU as perhaps the ‘best growth stock for 2023.’ How has that prediction panned out? Nine months ago — or roughly the length of time it takes to grow a new person — I identified Marula as a top growth stock to watch. While I was particularly attracted to its … Continued

Beginner

Is Country Garden to be the only China disaster? What about Tesla too?

The general suspicion right now is that Country Garden Holdings (HKG: 2007) and the closely related Country Garden Services (HKG: 6098) are in the final tailspin into a crash landing. The main company, Country Garden, is down 30% over the last week. Of course, it’s also possible to think that the crash has already happened … Continued

Intermediate

Safe-haven assets are being favoured, with the USD still preferred

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Index futures are breaking, or are threatening to break below key support areas. The e-mini NASDAQ 100 futures have broken below the higher low at 15063, whilst the e-mini S&P 500 futures are threatening the support at 4411. If these breaks are confirmed, they come as outlook-changing moves. … Continued

Intermediate

Further evidence of waning US inflation weighs on USD

We know from Fed Chair Powell at the July FOMC meeting that the Federal Reserve is data-dependent. It means that the data for the US labour market and inflation this month and next month (that comes out before the September FOMC meeting) will be crucial in helping to formulate the monetary policy decisions in the … Continued

Intermediate

US earnings season has failed to ignite index futures

Q2 corporate earnings season in the States has been little help for US index futures. Despite it being a strong earnings season for positive surprises, the associated boost that markets have been lacking. It means that as earnings season winds down, the positive outlook on the technical analysis will have plenty of heavy lifting to … Continued

Intermediate

Gold has become the summer range play

The outlook for gold remains closely tied to the direction of the dollar. The recovery in the US dollar in the past couple of weeks has been negative for precious metals. Although gold may be holding up better than others in the precious metals space, it is still struggling amid a resurgence in the USD. … Continued

Beginner

The most insane thematic investing ETFs to buy right now

The Inverse Cramer, iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures, Roundhill MEME ETF, and AdvisorShares Vice ETF are popular choices for investors without fear or understanding of risk. Long-term readers of my work here at FxExplained and elsewhere will know my basic investing strategy — invest a decent chunk of excess income into an … Continued

Intermediate

A dovish hike from the Bank of England weighs on GBP

The Bank of England has hiked once more, for the 14th meeting in a row. However, just as other major central banks (such as the Fed and the ECB) have done recently, there was more of a dovish tilt to the decision this time. A 25 basis points hike to 5.25% is leaving GBP traders … Continued

Intermediate

With dollar interest rates peaking, time for bonds again?

Bonds have been a sure fire money loser these past couple of years – at least fixed coupon have. Anything with a fixed coupon always does lose out when there’re either rising interest rates or inflation. But now there’s that idea that the rate cycle has peaked. So, is it time to get back into … Continued

Intermediate

Is the EUR start to build support again?

Anyone long of EUR has had a bit of a rough ride since the European Central Bank meeting at the end of July. Christine Lagarde shifted from a decisively hawkish position in the previous meeting to one of considerable uncertainty. The EUR was hit hard on its major crosses. However, with an unexpected upside surprise … Continued

Intermediate

FTSE 100 Q2 earnings: top stocks in review

IAG, AstraZeneca, Shell, Lloyds & Rio Tinto have all reported Q2 earnings; but what nuggets of investor information can be gleaned? The FTSE 100 is a misunderstood beast. While the index is often invoked as a proxy for the UK economy, the reality is very different, as 82% of FTSE 100 corporate income is derived … Continued

Intermediate

Uncertainty into the Fed meeting, with tech earnings in focus

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 07/31/2023 China Manufacturing & Non-Manufacturing PMIs, Eurozone Flash HICP Inflation 08/01/2023 Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy, Final Manufacturing PMIs for Eurozone & UK, US ISM Manufacturing and JOLTS jobs openings 08/02/2023 ADP Employment Change 08/03/2023 Final Services/Composite PMIs for Eurozone … Continued

Expert

Bond Market’s Mirror Image

According to the Congressional Budget Office, the U.S. government posted a $225 billion budget deficit for June, up 156% from a year earlier. This means, the first nine months of fiscal 2023 showed a deficit of $1.4 trillion, which is up 171% from the amount seen during the first nine months of fiscal ’22. Debt … Continued

Intermediate

AUD pairs are at a key crossroads as inflation falls further

The pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia to continue to hike interest rates has further eased after the announcement that a range of inflation metrics had fallen more than forecast. The relative performance of the AUD on major forex has improved lately as currencies such as the EUR and GBP have suffered corrective pressure. … Continued

Intermediate

War and Climate Disaster – It’s Time to Speculate in Foods Then

Russia is trying to renege on the deal to allow Ukrainian grain out through the Black Sea ports. India has just banned exports of the common grades of rice based upon climate problems – or perhaps weather, who knows what they call it these days. That means that our speculative energies should turn to food … Continued

Beginner

Is Forex Trading Profitable in the UK? Understanding the Potential and Risks

Forex trading, also known as foreign exchange trading or currency trading, involves buying and selling currencies with the aim of profiting from the fluctuating exchange rates.  The forex market is the largest and most liquid financial market globally, with significant trading volumes each day.  As with any form of trading, the profitability of forex trading … Continued

Beginner

15 factors to consider regarding free trading apps

Disenfranchised, can’t find your stock, or been burnt by a weak stop loss? It might be time to upgrade. There comes a time in every millennial investor’s life when the time is just right. It’s like when you become a father and instantly retire those weekend skinny jeans in favour of faded beige shorts. I’m … Continued

Intermediate

Uncertainty into the Fed meeting, with tech earnings in focus

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 07/24/2023 Flash PMIs for Australia, Eurozone, the UK and the US 07/25/2023 German Ifo Business Climate, US Consumer Confidence, Richmond Fed Manufacturing 07/26/2023 Australian CPI, US New Home Sales, FOMC monetary policy 07/27/2023 European Central Bank monetary policy; US Durable Goods … Continued

Intermediate

China’s gallium and germanium export rules – not everything we know is tradeable

This is one of those really annoying – but unfortunately true – things about investing knowledge. Not everything we know, know absolutely, can be traded upon. Sometimes, obviously enough, that’s because we’re barred by law from trading on it. There’s a massive price difference between Polymetal (MCX: POLY) in Moscow and the quote that’s just … Continued

Intermediate

Wheat price: where next after collapse of the Ukraine grain deal?

Echoes of early 2022 whisper across time into the wheat markets. What happens next? On 24 February 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine. Or, more accurately, a war that has been raging since at least 2014 intensified. Putin’s failed attempt to take Kyiv within days would likely have had little effect on the commodities markets if he … Continued

Is the downside surprise in UK inflation a tipping point for GBP?

GBP has been one of the standout performers on major forex for several months. The move has been driven by continued high inflation and eyewatering expectations of Bank of England rate hike expectations. However, the CPI inflation data for June has come in below expectations and markets are reacting. This could now trigger a re-assessment … Continued

Intermediate

The USD is oversold near term but any recovery will be short-lived

There has been a significant shift in how markets now view the USD. The crucial data points of the past couple of weeks have put the dollar bulls massively on the back foot. A relatively weak Nonfarm Payrolls was followed by lower-than-expected inflation readings on US CPI and PPI. The selling pressure that has followed … Continued

Intermediate

Cooling US Inflation Sends Stock Averages and Bonds Higher, whilst the US Dollar Plunges

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 07/17/2023 China GDP, Industrial Production & Retail Sales; US Empire State Manufacturing 07/18/2023 Canadian CPI inflation; US Retail Sales & Industrial Production; New Zealand CPI inflation 07/19/2023 UK CPI inflation; US Building Permits & Housing Starts 07/20/2023 Australian Unemployment; US Weekly … Continued

Intermediate

The Overnight S&P 500 Trading Strategy That Actually Works

It’s been about a year since we were told that the US stock market really only rises at night. This is one of those things that shouldn’t really happen but then folk can be weird at times and it seems to be that this is in fact true. During normal trading hours the main US … Continued

Intermediate

Oil futures finally break out on hopes of a less hawkish Fed

It has been a while since I could say anything even remotely interesting about oil. However, oil has finally broken the shackles of a two-month trading range. The move has largely come on hope rather than anything more concrete in terms of the oil market. Hope that oil demand remains strong, and hope that a … Continued

Intermediate

USD correction accelerates after a sharp downward surprise in US CPI

US CPI inflation was expected to fall in June, but not to the extent that it has. The negative surprise is significantly impacting major markets. As traders react to what they see as the implications of the decline in inflation, an already corrective move in the USD is threatening to move into an accelerating tailspin. … Continued

Intermediate

FTSE 100 explained: clearing up the misconceptions

FTSE 100 investing is infested with misconceptions and misunderstandings. Here’s a comprehensive breakdown of the common errors. As a freelance financial analyst, I spend much of my time covering the FTSE 100 — both the index and its popular constituent companies. FTSE 100 businesses all report their financial activities every quarter, creating masses of analytical … Continued

Intermediate

What is needed for Gold to rally again?

Since hitting a high of $2072 in May, the Gold futures have been on the slide. There are signs though, in recent sessions that this move may be starting to find a low. However, building support is one thing, building a rally is something else. I have taken a look at what is driving this … Continued

Intermediate

Hawkish Fed and Strong Data Wobble Stock Indices

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 07/10/2023 China CPI & PPI 07/11/2023 UK Unemployment and wage growth; German ZEW Economic Sentiment 07/12/2023 Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy; US CPI; Bank of Canada monetary policy 07/13/2023 UK GDP (monthly); US PPI and Weekly Jobless Claims 07/14/2023 Michigan Sentiment (prelim)

Intermediate

The data will be key for trading USD positions in the coming weeks

As US traders wearily return to their desks following their Independence Day celebrations there is a sense that consolidation is developing across USD major forex pairs. Views are becoming set that the Fed still has a likely one more rate hike to come this year before a prolonged pause. But if traders are settled in … Continued

Intermediate

Rainbow Rare Earths is why we’ll never run out of minerals

Rainbow Rare Earths (LON: RBW) is a small cap (£50 million) London listed rare earths adventure. It looks like it’s actually going to work too, which is nice. But it’s also an excellent example of why we’re simply not going to run out of any particular metal or mineral that we’re interested in. We can … Continued

Intermediate

What are the different types of lithium?

Brine, pegmatites, clay, spodumene, carbonate, hydroxide; these terms are quite simple to understand if you can spare five minutes. As an investor and analyst in battery metals, commodities, and equities, a very common question in my inbox is whether it is possible to invest directly into lithium. You can physically buy gold, silver, and copper; … Continued

Intermediate

Uncertainty in trading AUD crosses as the RBA pauses again

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kicked off the July round of major central bank announcements with another pause in its monetary policy tightening. The guidance from the RBA suggests that there might yet be more tightening in the pipeline with data-dependent decisions to come. This topsy-turvy approach leaves AUD traders with a sense of … Continued

Intermediate

Bolivia Just Went Sensible – But Really Hit The Lithium Market

As we all know the lithium market – that “white gold” – is the new hot thing. So much so that we’ve microcaps like Western Yilgarn (ASX: WYX) rising 50% because people on the next property over found the right sort of rock that might have lithium in it. No, really. There’s a frenzy going … Continued

Intermediate

Cooling Inflation and Positive Growth Data Buoy US and Global Stocks

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 07/03/2023 Eurozone & UK Final Manufacturing PMI; US ISM Manufacturing, US Factory Orders 07/04/2023 Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy; US Independence Day holiday 07/05/2023 China Caixin Services PMI; OPEC meeting; FOMC meeting minutes 07/06/2023 ADP Employment Change, US Weekly Jobless Claims, ISM Services 07/07/2023 … Continued

Intermediate

A brief rundown of cancer trials: what are the biotechs up to?

From Avacta to Cizzle, the UK small cap market boasts dozens of cancer-fighting shares. Read more to understand what these companies are doing to improve cancer care. As an avid analyst of high-risk, high-reward London-listed small cap shares, I tend to predominantly cover mining and biotech companies. This is to some extent a self-fulfilling prophecy; … Continued

Intermediate

Record weakness in JPY opens the door to currency intervention

Major currencies have seen fluctuating performance in recent months. USD performance has ebbed and flowed, with major currencies often reacting in line with swings in risk appetite. However, there is one currency that has failed to take part in these moves. That is the perennially underperforming Japanese yen. The record levels of weakness that the … Continued

Beginner

RC365 Holding – idiot meme stocks come to London

RC365 Holding (LON: RCGH) is up 400% on the London Stock Market in this past 10 days and has been up 500% at times. This is, of course, a lovely price movement to be on the right side of. But doing that requires that we know what is actually happening here. And to be honest … Continued

Intermediate

Hawkish Tones from BoE and Powell, Flash PMI Data Disappoints, Russia in the Spotlight

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 06/26/2023 German Ifo Business Climate 06/27/2023 Canada CPI; US Durable Goods Orders, S&P/CS House Prices Index, US Consumer Confidence, US New Home Sales 06/28/2023 Australian CPI; central bank governors of the Fed, ECB, BoJ and BoE speak; 06/29/2023 US final GDP, Weekly Jobless Claims, Pending … Continued

Intermediate

Will the Bank of England increase the base rate to 7%?

With CPI inflation stubbornly high, Governor Andrew Bailey must choose the path of least damage. A recession is imminent. The Bank of England has two official objectives in its monetary policy remit: It has two key tools to perform its duties — setting the base rate and controlling the money supply. While it usually takes … Continued

Intermediate

Preparing for a 6% BoE base rate as hot UK CPI wobbles GBP

It was not meant to be like this. Inflation in other countries is falling, but not in the UK. Once more, the CPI data from the Office of National Statistics has come in hot. UK CPI has come in much higher than expected as headline inflation did not fall, whilst core inflation increased sharply. The … Continued

Beginner

Saints and Sinners, how come tobacco stocks are more ESG than Tesla?

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has a lower ESG score than Chevron (NYSE: CVX) or Philip Morris (NYSE: PM). This is probably not how it should be for ESG stands for environmental, social and governance. That is, the grab bag of today’s fashionable ideas about what companies ought to be doing. Which does not include tobacco (PM) … Continued

Intermediate

Despite Hawkish Tones from the Fed and ECB, Stocks March Higher

Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 19/06/2023 US public holiday (for Juneteenth) 20/06/2023 US Building Permits and Housing Starts 21/06/2023 UK CPI; Canadian Retail Sales; Jerome Powell Congressional testimony (House Financial Services Committee) 22/06/2023 Swiss National Bank monetary policy; Bank of England monetary policy; US Weekly Jobless … Continued

Intermediate

A Pause Like Nonother

The Bank of Canada paused its rate hiking cycle in January but then hiked rates at its last meeting. The Royal Bank of Australia paused in April but then had to start hiking again in June. The Fed also paused at its June meeting or at least skipped a rate hike. This was the case … Continued