Current Market Analysis

The analysis of markets is a critical part of the trading decisions of any trader or investor. The individual trader or trading group may have a preference for: Macroeconomic Analysis, Microeconomics Analysis, Fundamental Analysis, Behavioural Analysis, Quantitative Analysis and Technical Analysis. But whichever approach is employed, it is through this analysis that the trader decides:

  • If to buy or sell an asset
  • At which levels to enter a trade
  • At which level to put the target to hopefully take profit on the trade
  • Or, if the analysis proves incorrect, when and where is the trade wrong and at which level to exit the trade.

In this section we provide daily, real time market views including currency pairs forecasts, primarily through the approach of Technical Analysis, but also by utilising other approaches to market analysis. Many of our analyses also contains a video explaining the analyses. Click here for all video analyses and here for all forex news.

Beginner
Federal reserve

Stocks Fall After Positive Data, Ahead of US CPI, Fed, BoE and ECB

Published December 12, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 12/12/22 UK GDP, Industrial and Manufacturing Production  13/12/22 UK Employment; German CPI; German and EU ZEW Survey; US CPI 14/12/22 Japan Tankan report; UK inflation report (including CPI); FOMC Meeting, interest rate decision and press conference 15/12/22 Australia Employment; China Industrial … Continued

Beginner
Tesla Cars in a row

Tesla shares: 5 factors to consider for 2023

Published December 7, 2022 by:
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Sino-US tensions, macroeconomic factors, shifting politics, increased competition, and Tesla’s pace of innovation all contribute to an increasingly complex investment case. Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) shares are the long-term investor’s marmite. The EV stock’s market cap rose to more than $1 trillion last year with an all-time-high share price of $410 on a post-split basis by … Continued

REIT

The Rise And Fall Of Home REIT – Are The Short Sellers Right?

Published December 7, 2022 by:
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By definition the price of a share on the market is the right price for that share on the market. That’s just what market price means – that’s the price. Which means that the short sellers in Home REIT (LON: HOME) are correct when they say it was overvalued at 120p, overvalued at 80p and … Continued

Beginner
Fed Chair Jerome Powell

“Risk On” Theme Extends, As Powell Reiterates Smaller Hikes

Published December 5, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 05/12/22 Global Services and Composite PMI data from S&P Global and US ISM Service PMI; EU Retail Sales 06/12/22 RBA interest rate decision 07/12/22 Australian GDP; EU GDP; BoC interest rate decision 08/12/22 Japan GDP 09/12/22 US PPI; Michigan Consumer Sentiment … Continued

Beginner

Three Energy Stocks to Invest In Now For The Short-Term

Published December 2, 2022 by:
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As the coldest days of the Northern Hemisphere winter arrive one can expect energy stocks to receive fresh impetus as global investors seek positions that will derive economic benefit from expected increase in prices and the shortages expected. In September, as autumn leaves were starting to fall, 66% of the respondents to a survey conducted … Continued

Beginner
Federal Reserve

“Risk On” Theme Intact as Fed Seen Slowing Pace of Hikes

Published November 28, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 28/11/22 Australian Retail Sales 29/11/22 German CPI; Canadian GDP 30/11/22 Australian CPI; German Employment report; EU CPI; ADP Employment change; US GDP and PCE; Fed Chairman Powell speaks 01/12/22 German Retail Sales; global PMI data from S&P Global and US ISM … Continued

Intermediate
Interest rates

These Stocks Are Not Sensitive To Higher Interest Rates

Published November 25, 2022 by:
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The idea that these stocks are not sensitive to higher interest rates, while these over here are, is true. But that does depend more than a little bit on the weight we put on that word “sensitive”. For at some level of movement of interest rates all stocks will change in price. Other levels of … Continued

Beginner
UK energy prices

UK Energy Prices – What’s Up?

Published November 24, 2022 by:
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One answer to that headline question – UK Energy prices, what’s up?  – is that UK energy prices are up, that’s what. But that’s not a grandly illuminative statement as most of us have seen our own bills where this is true. And, of course, what most of us want to know is what happens … Continued

Beginner
Indices YTD

Have stock markets bottomed?

Published November 23, 2022 by:
Updated December 2nd, 2022
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Selling pressure and elevated volatility have been crucial factors that investors have had to endure throughout a bruising year for financial markets in 2022. Anyone that has not been long of the US Dollar or has been unable to short the markets will likely be nursing some fairly hefty losses to their investing account. However, … Continued

Beginner
China tariff cuts

Bear Market Rally or Bull Trend Resuming

Published November 21, 2022 by:
Updated August 7th, 2023
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments UK inflation accelerated more than anticipated in October to hit a 41-year high of 11.1%, significantly above the 10.1% print in September. Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 21/11/22 PBoC interest rate decision 22/11/22 Canada Retail Sales 23/11/22 RBNZ interest rate decision; global Flash PMI from S&P … Continued

Beginner
Gold - the rise and fall in 2022

Is it time to stock up on Gold?

Published November 15, 2022 by:
Updated December 2nd, 2022
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Despite its performance, gold will always have a following amongst the investment community. The price has been falling for much of 2022. However, as the disclaimers warn us, prices can go up as well as down. Could this all be about to turn around again? We look at the key factors driving the gold price. … Continued

Intermediate
Congress and White house

Stocks surge with lighter US inflation

Published November 14, 2022 by:
Updated November 28th, 2022
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 14/11/22 Nothing of note 15/11/22 RBA Minutes; China Retail Sales; UK Employment; EU GDP; German ZEW Survey; US PPI 16/11/22 UK inflation report (including CPI); US Retail Sales; Canada CPI 17/11/22 Australia Employment; EU CPI  18/11/22 UK Retail Sales

Intermediate
Jerome Powell

Stocks drop with hawkish Powell

Published November 7, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Global financial market developments Key this week Date Key Macroeconomic Events 07/11/22 China trade data 08/11/22 US midterm elections; EU Retail Sales 09/11/22 China CPI 10/11/22 US CPI 11/11/22 UK GDP; German CPI; US Veterans Day, Bond markets closed

Intermediate
Current Market Analysis

A Hawkish Pivot

Published November 3, 2022 by:
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This latest bear-market bounce was predicated on good seasonality, the hopes for a typical mid-term election boost, and the rumors of a Fed pivot. Wall Street always finds a narrative for rallies in a bear market. But the negative economic and liquidity cycles remain unchanged: The Fed is hiking rates into a recession. Powell may … Continued

Intermediate
Liz Truss resigns

Stocks advance with upbeat earnings, despite Fed Hawks

Published October 24, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments US third-quarter earnings results are largely meeting or beating expectations. About a fifth of S&P 500 companies have reported Q3 results, and approximately 73% have exceeded forecasts. Investor sentiment has been very negative, possibly assisting the market rebound, the Bank of America Fund Managers monthly survey showed investors were holding the most … Continued

Intermediate
US core inflation rate

Erratic post US CPI as assets classes whipsaw

Published October 17, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments US core consumer price index (CPI) inflation hit at four-decade high, at 6.6% year-over-year, higher than consensus. Earnings season began, with US financials leading the way, overall posting above expectations. In the UK, the U-turns continue on the much-criticised mini budget, with the chancellor of the exchequer, Kwasi Kwarteng a political casualty, … Continued

Intermediate
Reserve Bank of Australia

Risk On Recovery Stall

Published October 10, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments On the data front, Monday saw the release of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI activity data, which was below expectations, and also showed falling price pressures (fuelling a risk on theme to start the week, month and quarter). Further easing inflation fears and adding to the risk on tone, the US job … Continued

Intermediate
Liz Truss Kwasi Kwarteng

UK mini-budget creates contagion chaos, Bonds and Stocks plunge

Published October 3, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The UK mini-budget on Friday 23rd September that saw tax-cuts, the cancellation of national insurance and corporation tax increases, supply-side reforms, plus a GBP 60 billion energy support package had serious impacts on global financial markets last week. The Pound plunged across the Forex board, which saw Cable, GBPUSD, hit an all-time-low, … Continued

Intermediate
Forex Videos

Pound on a Rollercoaster!

Published October 3, 2022 by:
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Euro-Pound hits upside target (EURGBP forecast) Cable rebound still caped by resistance (GBPUSD forecast) Minor supports form for commodity currencies, but still vulnerable (AUDUSD, NZDUSD and USDCAD forecasts)

Intermediate
spx

“Risk off” theme continues – stocks plunge, US Dollar gains, commodities slump. Pound gets crushed after UK mini-budget

Published September 26, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The key focus last week was the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision, statement and press conference on Wednesday. This brought an anticipated 75bp rate hike, but also a more hawkish tone than markets had anticipated, with rates possibly now moving to a higher peak in 2023 up to 4.50% and … Continued

Intermediate
Forex Videos

US Dollar Stays Strong as Pound Collapses

Published September 26, 2022 by:
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US Dollar Index breaks up (DXY forecast)  Euro & Pound break down (EURUSD & GBPUSD forecasts)  Dollar-Yen posts negative (USDJPY forecast)  Euro-Pound and Dollar-CAD continue uptrends (EURGBP & USDCAD forecasts) 

Intermediate
August 2022 US CPI

Hot US CPI Sets “Risk Off” Theme; Fed in Focus in Busy Week for CBs

Published September 19, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The dominant event last week was the far higher than expected release for the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday. Headline CPI rose 8.3% YoY ended August against expectations of an 8.1% rise. Core inflation (CPI excluding food and energy) leapt to its highest level since March at 6.3%, higher … Continued

Intermediate
Forex Videos

Pound Under Bear Pressures

Published September 19, 2022 by:
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Euro-Pound breaks to the upside  (EURGBP forecast) Cable teeters over the edge (GBPUSD forecast) US Dollar-CAD breaks higher (USDCAD forecast)

Intermediate
European energy crisis

A Cross Asset Class Shift To “Risk On”

Published September 12, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Easing inflation fears seemed to be at work last week, possibly assisted by a midweek decline in oil prices to multi-month lows. Plus, the Fed’s “Beige Book” indicated that price increases were moderating in 9 of its 12 districts. Fed speakers Brainard and Mester also delivered comments that seemed to be more … Continued

Intermediate
Forex Videos

GBPUSD Holds Final Major Support

Published September 12, 2022 by:
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Pound holds critical support (GBPUSD forecast) US Dollar Index retreats and is back in sideways  (DXY forecast) EuroYen reaches major upside target  (EURJPY forecast)

Intermediate
ECB

Hawkish Fed Tone, “Risk Off” Theme Intact

Published September 5, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Further hawkish messages from Federal Reserve officials last week have reinforced the tone evident since the Fed Chair, Jerome Powell’s 26th August Jackson Hole speech. Friday’s US Employment report saw 315K jobs added, down from the revised 526K number for July, but still a solid report. Global financial market developments The major … Continued

Intermediate
Pelosi Taiwan

Hawkish Fed Tone, US-Sino Tensions, Strong Jobs Data, But Still “Risk On”

Published August 8, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Markets had interpreted Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference after the July 26-27 policy meeting as a dovish “pivot”. Last week several Fed officials pushed back against this dovish market narrative and indicated that the central bank is still steadfast in raising rates until inflation is under control House Speaker Nancy … Continued

Intermediate
Jerome Powell

Fed “Pivot”, Weak Data, Better Tech Earnings, Still “Risk On”

Published August 1, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) increased rates on Wednesday by 0.75%, taking the benchmark Fed Funds rate to about 2.5% Powell highlighted a Fed Funds range of 3.0%-3.5% by year end, implying about 50-100 basis points of more tightening over the three meetings for the balance of this year, … Continued

Intermediate
BOA FMS

Restrained “Risk on” Theme Continues

Published July 25, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The Monthly Fund Manager Survey from Bank of America showed that funds’ cash holdings are at their highest levels since 9/11, and equity exposure at the lowest levels since the 2007–2009 global financial crisis and recession. This can be viewed as a contrary indicator, meaning that there is plenty of cash to … Continued

Intermediate
Forex Videos

US Dollar Retreats

Published July 25, 2022 by:
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US Dollar Index sets back (DXY forecast)  US DollarYen false break out higher (USDJPY forecast)  Major support lies below on EuroYen (EURJPY forecast)

Beginner

Stocks Rebound, Despite “Hot” US CPI

Published July 18, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The big data print came from US CPI on Wednesday with the headline number moving to 9.1% YoY, up from the 8.6% print in May and higher than consensus. There is now a growing anticipation from short-term interest rate markets that the Fed could raise rates by 1.00% at their meeting on … Continued

Intermediate
Current Market Analysis

Dollar remains King!

Published July 18, 2022 by:
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US Dollar Index hits major target (DXY forecast) Euro also reaches major level (EURUSD forecast) US Dollar-Yen breaks up (USDJPY forecast)

Beginner
US Dollar Index Chart

Global stock indices reinforce basing attempts

Published July 11, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The FOMC Meeting Minutes on Wednesday reinforced recent hawkish comments from Fed members. S&P Global Services and Composite PMI, plus US ISM Services PMI came in above forecast for the US and were also broadly better than expected globally and notably for the UK and across Europe, although hitting very low levels. … Continued

Intermediate
Current Market Analysis

US Dollar Surges Again

Published July 11, 2022 by:
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US Dollar Index Extends Bull Trend (DXY forecast) Euro Continues its Bear Trend (EURUSD forecast)

Intermediate
US core PCE data

Stock averages erratic – basing efforts or bear market rallies?

Published July 4, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on Central Banking 2022, from Sintra, Portugal saw the world’s major central bankers reaffirm their commitment to fighting inflation. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data was mixed last week, with some of the European data beating expectations, whilst the US PMI data from S&P Global just … Continued

Intermediate
Forex Videos

US Dollar Attacks Highs

Published July 4, 2022 by:
Updated July 6th, 2022
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The US Dollar Index Approaches Multi-Year Peak (DXY forecast) Aussie & Kiwi Dollars Break Down ( AUDUSD and NZDUSD forecasts ) Euro Vulnerable Too (EURUSD forecast) Pound Creates Major Support (GBPUSD forecast)

Intermediate
Jerome Powell

Stock averages base with glimmers of inflation peaking and slowdown signs

Published June 26, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Moderating inflation pressures and falling growth data helped global stock indices secures gains and technical bases last week. Global S&P Flash PMI on Thursday were not only lower than for May, but also below expectations in many instances, with the US services data hitting its lowest level since January. In addition, long … Continued

Intermediate

Central Bank activity leaves stocks vulnerable, but mixed signals elsewhere

Published June 20, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Central Banks were front and center last week, with the Swiss National Bank (SNB), US Federal Reserve (Fed), European Central Bank (ECB), Bank of England (BoE) and Bank of Japan (BoJ) all in play. First, the ECB held an ad hoc, emergency meeting on Wednesday to deal with surging bond yields for … Continued

Intermediate
US CPI May 2022

ECB Pivots + Hot US CPI = Risk Off Acceleration

Published June 13, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments As expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) pivoted to a more hawkish stance on Thursday, signaling a rate hike in July and maybe more aggressive rate hikes than anticipated thereafter. In addition, they announced the end to their Quantative Easing (QE) program, the Asset Purchase Program (APP) Friday’s US CPI data showed … Continued

Intermediate
Ursula Von Der Leyen

Stock averages consolidate bases, “risk on” theme intact

Published June 7, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The EU agreed on a partial ban on Russian oil. OPEC+ agreed on bigger oil-output hikes for July and August on Thursday, but still disappointed the oil market, which rebounded strongly, having previously sold off in anticipation of more aggressive hikes. EU inflation hit a new record high at 8.1%. Despite markets … Continued

Intermediate
PCE data

Strong stock index rebounds for technical “bases”, “risk on”

Published May 30, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Selling exhaustion in the equity markets saw recoveries last week, and a cross market shift to a “risk on” theme. This was helped by some positive forecasts from Macy’s, Ralph Lauren and Nordstrom. Fed Minutes pointed to hints of flexibility, helping the more positive outlook. Economic data was mixed, but the PCE … Continued

Intermediate
target

Recession fears sees S&P 500 threaten bear market

Published May 23, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Poor results from US retailers, notably Target, but also Walmart, Lowe’s and Home Depot, highlighted a weakened US consumer. This stoked fears of a larger slowdown and future recession. This on top of US and global inflation worries, and hawkish Central Banks stoked the stagflation fire. Fed speakers, including Chair Powell have … Continued

Intermediate
US April 2022 CPI

US inflation still running hot, BUT hints at stock averages basing

Published May 16, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments US CPI headline data year over year rose 8.3%, falling from March’s pace but not as much as expected, with consensus around 8.1%. Jerome Powell again stated that a hike of 0.75% was not something being actively considered, but was still a possibility. Possible easing of pandemic lockdowns in Shanghai, China brought … Continued

Intermediate
Jerome Powell

Stocks stay bearish even after “less hawkish” Fed

Published May 9, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments A 0.5% hike by the Fed as expected, but Jerome Powell stated that a hike of 0.75% was “not something we are actively considering.” Stock indices initially rallied strongly on this information Wednesday, then reversed these gains and more on Thursday and Friday. Friday’s US Jobs reports saw 428K jobs added in … Continued

Intermediate
Pandemic lockdowns in China

Disappointing tech earnings leave stocks vulnerable, after erratic April end

Published May 2, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Disappointing earnings results from the tech sector last week, including Alphabet and Amazon, and concerning forward guidance from Apple eclipsed solid Meta numbers. The US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index YOY data, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge posted its first deceleration in over a year, whilst the YOY headline … Continued

Intermediate
Forex Videos

The US Dollar is King

Published May 2, 2022 by:
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Euro breaks down (EURUSD forecast) But US Dollar Index stops at a major upside resistance (DXY forecast) Kiwi breaks final support (NZDUSD forecast)

Intermediate
Powell

Hawkish Fed > higher yield pressures > stocks plunge again

Published April 25, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments More hawkish comments from various Fed policymakers, notably Bullard and Fed Chair Powell indicated even more aggressive interest rate hikes in 2022 and also in the near future, sending bond and stock markets lower in the US and globally. European Central Bank (ECB) hawks and doves have called for earlier and more … Continued

Intermediate
US CPI March

Higher yield pressure sees value stocks outperform growth counterparts

Published April 19, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments US headline CPI data leapt by 1.2% in March, with the year-over-year rise at 8.5%, above consensus expectations to a four-decade high. More hawkish comments from Charles Evans of the Fed (historically a dove) regarding accelerated rate hikes echoed the comments the prior week from another dove, Lael Brainard. The European Central … Continued

Intermediate
Lael Brainard

Even more hawkish Fed sends bonds and stock averages lower

Published April 11, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Hawkish comments from Lael Brainard of the Fed (usually more of a dove) regarding rate hikes and balance sheet normalization saw Bonds yields surge last Tuesday, with growth/ tech stocks leading the US stock averages lower. This was affirmed by Wednesday’s FOMC Meeting Minutes, which reinforced a more hawkish threat from the … Continued

Intermediate
Forex Videos

US Dollar strength!

Published April 11, 2022 by:
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US Dollar Index breaks up (DXY forecast)  But Euro-Dollar does not break down (EURUSD forecast)  Blow off tops on Aussie and Kiwi  (AUDUSD and NZDUSD forecasts) 

Intermediate
oil

Stock index rally extends, but slows

Published April 4, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The financial markets have been less dominated by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, as a lack of any significant escalation has seen a further shift towards more of a “risk on” theme for stocks since mid-March. There have also been hopes from the Ukraine/ Russia talks and also from reported setbacks suffered … Continued

Intermediate
Biden

Stocks surge as Bonds plunge

Published March 28, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The financial markets have been less dominated by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, as a lack of any significant escalation has seen a further shift towards more of a “risk on” theme for global risky assets (notably stocks) since mid-March. This has also been assisted by hopes from the Ukraine/ Russia talks … Continued

Intermediate
Forex Videos

USDJPY surges, Commodity currencies rally

Published March 28, 2022 by:
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US Dollar-Yen continue its march higher (USDJPY forecast)  Aussie approach major resistance  (AUDUSD forecast)  US Dollar-CAD continues its breakdown  (USDCAD forecast) 

Intermediate
fed

“Risk on” theme emerging

Published March 21, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The financial markets have once more been dominated by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, but with a shift towards more of a “risk on” theme through mid-March. This has been driven by hopes from minimally positive signals from the Ukraine/ Russia talks. And, although there have been some upsetting impacts on civilians, … Continued

Intermediate
Forex Videos

US Dollar supports under pressure

Published March 21, 2022 by:
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Reversal on US Dollar Index but key support held (DXY forecast)  Pound reaches breakout point (GBPUSD forecast)  US Dollar-Yen reaches major upside target (USDJPY forecast)  

Beginner

“Risk off” theme slightly eases despite Russia/ Ukraine conflict

Published March 14, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The financial markets have again been dominated by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, with shifts between “risk on” and “risk off” themes. Further punitive sanctions including the US barring Russian oil imports has increased the threat to global trade and global economic growth. Global commodity prices have again risen aggressively, but also … Continued

Intermediate
Current Market Analysis

US Dollar strong within G3

Published March 14, 2022 by:
Updated March 18th, 2022
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Euro Future hits major downside target (EURUSD forecast)  Pound breaks down  (GBPUSD forecast)  US Dollar-Yen breaks up  (USDJPY forecast) 

Intermediate
Ukraine war

“Risk off” theme as Russian invasion continues

Published March 7, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The financial markets have again been dominated by developments in the Russian invasion of Ukraine, with shifts between “risk off” and “risk on” themes. More punitive sanctions have seen European and U.K. stocks under particular pressure given the likely impact on global trade and the global economy. Global commodity prices have risen … Continued

Intermediate
Ukraine war

Russian invasion of Ukraine sees “risk off” then “risk on”

Published February 28, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The markets were dominated last week with shifts between “risk off” then “risk on” themes with the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The “risk off” theme on the initial invasion quickly shifted to “risk on”, as is often seen when conflict is predicted by markets and then finally breaks out, “sell the rumour, … Continued

Intermediate
Ukraine

Intensifying Russia/ Ukraine fears reinforce “risk off” theme

Published February 21, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments The markets were dominated last week with shifts between “risk on” then “risk off” themes with conflicting reports regarding the potential for conflict starting between Russia and Ukraine. Reports of Russian troops withdrawing saw a “risk on” move earlier in the week, which was dismissed by Western statements regarding a potentially imminent … Continued

Intermediate
Forex Videos

Euro recovery tops out

Published February 14, 2022 by:
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Euro tops out at major resistance to the tick on Thursday (EURUSD forecast) Euro-Pound tops out at its monthly resistance (EURGBP forecast) Positive appears on US Dollar-CAD (USDCAD forecast) US DollarYen reaches upside target (USDJPY forecast)

Intermediate
ECB

Stocks rebound through volatile earnings and Central Bank hawkishness

Published February 7, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments A more hawkish tone from global central banks with the Fed shifting more hawkish through January, on Thursday we saw the Bank of England and European Central Bank both signal a more hawkish tone. The Bank of England delivered a 25bp interest rate hike as anticipated, but the vote was close for … Continued

Intermediate
Forex Videos

US Dollar reverses lower, Euro surges

Published February 7, 2022 by:
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US Dollar Index posts major negative (DXY forecast) Euro signals major positive (EURUSD forecast) Uptrend over on Pound (GBPUSD forecast) Aussie posts fresh negative (AUDUSD forecast)

Intermediate
Jerome Powell

More hawkish Fed sees volatile stocks and a strong greenback

Published January 31, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments We got the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate decision, statement and press conference on Wednesday and although markets moved initially to a “risk on” theme after the statement, the press conference saw a “risk off” shift, as, markets interpreted comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell as opening the door … Continued

Intermediate
Forex Videos

US Dollar surges, still bullish!

Published January 31, 2022 by:
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US Dollar breaks up (DXY forecast) Euro breaks down (EURUSD forecast) Aussie breaks final major support Kiwi accelerates lower

Intermediate
Nasdaq

Inflation/ interest rate/ Ukraine fears trigger “risk off”

Published January 24, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Increasing worries of global inflationary pressures and fears of even higher interest rates from the major Central Banks have seen a more aggressive shift to a “risk off” phase through mid-January. These concerns have been heightened by the threat of conflict as Russia continues to amass troops on the Ukrainian border. These … Continued

Intermediate
Forex Videos

Positive US Dollar tone

Published January 24, 2022 by:
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A  quiet week sees Pound, Aussie and Kiwi retreat (GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD forecasts)  The US Dollar Index reaches first upside target (DXY  forecast)  A major positive appears on EuroPound (EURGBP forecast)

Intermediate
Lael Brainard

Stocks trying to rebound, despite still more hawkish Fed

Published January 17, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Ongoing concerns of global inflationary pressures have seen an erratic start to the year for global markets, seen again last week. The US CPI data for December showed a 7% rise over a year, the highest inflation rate since 1982! Although this was priced in, it continues to fuel inflationary and higher … Continued

Intermediate
Forex Videos

Mixed US Dollar Signals

Published January 17, 2022 by:
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US Dollar Index hits major support and posts positive (DXY forecast) Pound uptrend over (GBPUSD forecast) Negatives appear on Aussie and Kiwi (AUDUSD and NZDUSD forecasts) Dollar-CAD reverses (USDCAD forecast)

Intermediate
10 yr yield

Higher yields and hawkish Fed send stocks lower

Published January 10, 2022 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments 2022 kicked off with a continuation of the latter 2021 theme of rising concerns of global inflationary pressures. This saw a rise in not just US bond yields, but in global bond yields, particularly in the major, economic centres. This higher yield theme was reinforced by the release of the Minutes from … Continued

Intermediate
Fed

Omicron and hawkish Central Bank fears send stocks lower

Published December 20, 2021 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Concerns that the Omicron strain of COVID-19 could contribute to supply chain disruptions and weigh on global economic growth have resurfaced over the past week. This has been driven by global medical institutions warnings of the more contagious aspect of Omicron the surging numbers of cases in many countries (for example the … Continued

Intermediate
US CPI

Omicron and inflation fears easing, as “risk on” theme resumes

Published December 13, 2021 by:
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Macroeconomic/ geopolitical developments Concerns that the Omicron strain of COVID-19 could contribute to supply chain disruptions and weigh on global economic growth have decreased over the past week. This has been due to positive sounding from vaccine providers and medical institutions regarding the efficacy of vaccines and that the variant could be less severe than … Continued